The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon game.

CincinnatiRank@TennesseeRank
-1.5Spread1.5
22Implied Total20.5
26.53Points/Gm19.324
21.515Points All./Gm18.58
65.67Plays/Gm56.931
61.811Opp. Plays/Gm64.725
5.613Off. Yards/Play5.221
5.312Def. Yards/Play5.415
37.50%24Rush%53.43%3
62.50%9Pass%46.57%30
43.37%20Opp. Rush %32.92%1
56.63%13Opp. Pass %67.08%32
  • The Titans have scored on 25.5% of their drives that begin on their side of the field, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Bengals are third in the league in success rate per play on offense (47.3%) and first over the past four weeks (53.3%).
  • Ryan Tannehill is the league’s highest-rated passer on first down (134.8), completing 45-of-65 passes (69.2%) for 610 yards (9.4 Y/A) with seven touchdowns and zero interceptions.
  • Tennessee has run the ball 67.7% of the time on first down, second in the league behind the Falcons (71.4%).
  • Tennessee has a first down or touchdown on 19.7% of their rushing plays, 31st in the league.
  • The Bengals have scored a touchdown on 75.0% (24-of-32) of their red zone possessions, first in the league.
  • The Titans have scored a touchdown on 74.1% (20-of-27) of their red zone possessions, second in the league.
  • Tennessee has led for 75.0% of their second half plays, the highest rate in the league.
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Quarterback

Joe Burrow: Burrow stayed hot Sunday, throwing for 355 yards and a season-high four touchdowns. Burrow has now finished as a QB1 in 8-of-10 games this season. After a scare in Week 8 right after losing Ja’Marr Chase, Burrow has bounced back as the QB7 (19.1 points) and the QB2 (26.7 points). 

He has done so against two softer defensive matchups while the Titans have been playing well defensively. Tennessee is allowing 6.1 yards per pass attempt over their past five games. Burrow and the Bengals also may be down another playmaker on offense in Joe Mixon, although there is a small chance that Chase could dress and potentially play in some capacity this week.

While the Titans have been better defensively than they were early in the season, we know they are going to force passing volume. The Titans have squashed opposing running games and forced teams into pass-heavy game scripts. 

Tennessee faces 40.2 attempts per game (the most in the league) as a byproduct they are still allowing 17.1 passing points per game (30th). Even if Burrow has some increased inefficiency compared to the previous two weeks, there is projectable volume in place to keep him on the board as a QB1. The implied team total here is nothing special while the Bengals could be shorthanded, so ceiling expectations can be checked.

Burrow threw for 348 yards when these teams met in the postseason a year ago. The Titans sacked Burrow nine times in that game, but also pressured him on just 31.9% of dropbacks, which ranked sixth of the eight quarterbacks that week. 

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