The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 4 Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon game.

BuffaloRank@BaltimoreRank
-3.5Spread3.5
27.75Implied Total24.25
30.33Points/Gm331
12.74Points All./Gm25.724
715Plays/Gm55.329
52.71Opp. Plays/Gm70.329
6.25Off. Yards/Play6.91
4.12Def. Yards/Play6.531
33.80%27Rush%43.37%11
66.20%6Pass%56.63%22
39.24%14Opp. Rush %29.86%1
60.76%19Opp. Pass %70.14%32
  • Lamar Jackson leads the league with 194 rushing yards on gains of 10 or more yards. 33.3% of his rushes have gained 10 or more yards, the highest rate among all players with 20 or more carries.
  • Jackson has 12 games with 100 or more rushing yards, the most for a quarterback in league history. 
  • The Bills have allowed just one carry of 10 or more yards and 18 explosive rushing yards altogether, the lowest totals in the league.
  • Jackson is averaging a passing touchdown every 74.9 passing yards. The next closest quarterback is at 106.9 yards while the league average is throwing a touchdown for every 162.0 yards passing.
  • The Bills are averaging 172.7 more passing yards per game than their opponent, the most in the league.
  • 65.5% of Josh Allen’s pass attempts on third down have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the highest rate in the league. League average is 34.5%.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Josh Allen (TRUST): Allen has been the QB2, QB4, and QB3 in weekly scoring to kick off the defense of his scoring crown as the reigning QB1 overall in fantasy the past two seasons. He currently sits as the QB1 overall in expected fantasy points.

Allen attempted a career-high 63 passes last week, throwing for 400 yards and two passing touchdowns. 

This week, he draws a Baltimore defense that is allowing 19.9 passing points per game (29th) and 7.8 yards per attempt (28th). Even last week against the Patriots, Baltimore allowed 10.0 yards per pass attempt and a league-high eight completions of 20 or more yards.

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