The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Chargers Sunday afternoon game.

ClevelandRank@LA ChargersRank
1Spread-1
24.3Implied Total25.3
2512Points/Gm23.814
16.84Points All./Gm18.57
66.210Plays/Gm694
563Opp. Plays/Gm60.29
5.912Off. Yards/Play5.715
4.52Def. Yards/Play5.514
52.83%2Rush%37.68%23
47.17%31Pass%62.32%10
38.84%9Opp. Rush %43.98%21
61.16%24Opp. Pass %56.02%12
  • In all four games against the Chargers, their opponent has scored their fewest amount of points on the season. 
  • The Browns are averaging 110.5 more rushing yards per game than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
  • Cleveland is averaging 2.0 more yards per carry than their opponent, the most in the league.
  • 42% of the yardage allowed by the Chargers this season has come via rushing, 31st in the league. 
  • The Browns have run the ball on 75% of their plays inside of the red zone, the highest rate in the league. League average is 48.7%.
  • Baker Mayfield leads the league in the rate of throws over 15 yards downfield (27.4%) but ranks 21st in completion rate (41.9%) on those passes, connecting on 13-of-31 attempts.

Quarterback

Justin Herbert: We sure did not have to wait long on the touchdown regression for Herbert. After throwing two touchdown passes on 88 passes over the opening two weeks of the season (2.3%), Herbert has come back with seven passing scores the past two weeks on 76 passes (9.2%). Herbert ran ultra-hot in that department on Monday night as he threw for a season low 5.8 yards per pass attempt and 222 yards. 

The Browns opened the year up against Patrick Mahomes and then ran pure against a half of Davis Mills and Justin Fields the next two weeks, but last week showed a glimpse that they can be legit by just erasing a Vikings passing game that was averaging 7.7 yards per pass attempt entering the game to just 5.3 Y/A. 

The Browns are fourth in the league in pressure rate (30.1%) while blitzing just 21.8% of the time (21st). Herbert has only been pressured on 27.3% of his dropbacks (31st) to open the year, but he has been impacted by pressure when it has gotten home unlike how hot he ran a year ago. Under pressure, Herbert is completing 55.3% of his passes for 5.1 yards per attempt as opposed to a 73% completion rate and 7.8 Y/A when kept clean. 

This game has the potential to swing into a slugfest, giving pause on Herbert turning in a ceiling performance and more of a fringe-QB1 option.

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