The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon game.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | Spread | -6.5 | ||
| 20 | Implied Total | 26.5 | ||
| 24.7 | 7 | Points/Gm | 26.3 | 5 |
| 27.2 | 30 | Points All./Gm | 23.5 | 20 |
| 68.8 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 58.2 | 28 |
| 60.2 | 6 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.7 | 26 |
| 5.6 | 12 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 28 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 20 |
| 47.94% | 7 | Rush% | 44.99% | 10 |
| 52.06% | 26 | Pass% | 55.01% | 23 |
| 44.04% | 24 | Opp. Rush % | 35.53% | 3 |
| 55.96% | 9 | Opp. Pass % | 64.47% | 30 |
- The Ravens have covered in five straight games (4-1 straight up) against Cleveland.
- The Ravens have trailed for 8.0% of their offensive snaps, the lowest rate in the league.
- Baltimore (614 yards) and Cleveland (581 yards) are the top two teams in rushing yardage gained on carries of 10 or more yards.
- Cleveland is averaging 5.7 carries of 10 or more yards per game (first) while Baltimore is averaging 5.5 per game (second).
- Lamar Jackson has 17 carries of 10 or more yards, trailing only Nick Chubb (21).
- Cleveland has allowed 435 yards on explosive carries (29th) while the Ravens have allowed 245 (eighth).
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson: After opening the year on fire, Jackson has not been a QB1 scoring in any of the past three weeks. After throwing 10 touchdowns to two interceptions over the opening three weeks, Jackson has thrown three touchdown passes with four interceptions the past three games.
We opened the year with Jackson absolutely melting the blitz. Over the first three games, Jackson completed 25-of-30 passes (83.3%) for 12.0 Y/A with six touchdowns and zero interceptions against extra pass rushers. Over the past three weeks, Jackson has gone 22-of-44 (50%) with 4.8 Y/A with two touchdowns and two interceptions against the blitz. Jackson has now been blitzed on 39.4% of his dropbacks, the third-highest rate in the league.
Jackson also has faced three straight teams that currently reside in the top 12 in passing points allowed to all passers for the season overall. Cleveland is 18th in that department (14.2 per game) while allowing 0.45 passing points per attempt (23rd), providing some matchup relief compared to the past three weeks.
Jackson is averaging 75.2 rushing yards per game (his highest mark since 2019) to allow multiple outs while aiding his ceiling if we see the pass efficiency spike based on the matchup. That combination has Jackson as a QB1 option as a high-total home favorite.
