The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears Sunday afternoon game.
| Arizona | Rank | @ | Chicago | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -7.5 | Spread | 7.5 | ||
| 26.5 | Implied Total | 19 | ||
| 28.2 | 5 | Points/Gm | 16.3 | 29 |
| 18.4 | 4 | Points All./Gm | 23.1 | 18 |
| 65.4 | 8 | Plays/Gm | 60.2 | 30 |
| 60.4 | 6 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.6 | 11 |
| 5.8 | 10 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 29 |
| 5.3 | 8 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 13 |
| 46.87% | 5 | Rush% | 47.58% | 3 |
| 53.13% | 28 | Pass% | 52.42% | 30 |
| 39.76% | 10 | Opp. Rush % | 44.99% | 27 |
| 60.24% | 23 | Opp. Pass % | 55.01% | 6 |
- Arizona is first in the NFL in yards per pass attempt over their opponent (1.99 yards).
- Arizona has 25 more plays of 20-plus yards over their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Cardinals have allowed just two touchdowns from outside of the red zone this season, the fewest in the league.
- The Bears have scored three touchdowns from outside of the red zone, tied for the second-fewest in the league.
- Chicago is last in the league in fantasy non-passing fantasy points per game on offense (58.4).
- Arizona is fourth in the league in non-passing points allowed per game (66.6).
- Arizona leads the NFL in catchable targets (80.7%) while the Bears are last (66.8%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Murray is expected to return this week after taking the past four weeks off due to an ankle injury suffered back in Week 8 against the Packers.
If he is good to go, Murray leads the NFL in completion rate over expectation (+8.6%) in part due to a league-leading completion rate on throws 15 yards or further downfield (60.4%). Despite his passing growth, Murray has just 7.7 rushing points over the five games he played prior to injury. That has made Murray reliant more on passing stats, which has also resulted in being the QB16 or lower in three of his past six games when he has not stacked passing scores.
While we cannot count on Murray to start to running around, the Bears have been exploitable through the air. They are 29th in the league in points allowed per attempt (0.49), 22nd in completion rate (66.9%), and 23rd in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.7 Y/A). The one thing saving them a little bit is they are facing just 31.0 pass attempts per game, the third-fewest in the league.
Murray immediately comes back as a starting option, but the only pause from a ceiling perspective is coming off the long layoff and the Bears being competitive.
