The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos Sunday afternoon game.

LA ChargersRank@DenverRank
24.8Implied Total22.3
26.527Points All./Gm18.33
64.621Opp. Plays/Gm60.14
5.814Off. Yards/Play5.517
5.619Def. Yards/Play5.513
47.68%31Opp. Rush %41.43%17
52.32%2Opp. Pass %58.57%16
  • Games involving the Chargers are averaging a combined 52.5 points per game, second in the league.
  • Games involving the Broncos are averaging 38.3 combined points per game, the fewest in the league.
  • The Chargers are fourth in the NFL in points per possession (2.58).
  • The Chargers are 30th in the league in points allowed per drive (2.53).
  • Denver is fifth in points allowed per drive (1.67).
  • Austin Ekeler leads the league in fantasy points scored in the red zone this season with 106.2. His previous career-high came in 2019 with 60.8 points in the red zone.
  • Just 10.8% of the plays against Denver have come from inside of the red zone, the lowest rate in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Justin Herbert: When Herbert hits, he hits big. We have mentioned it a few times, but Herbert now has been the QB1 or QB2 in scoring in four weeks this season and the QB16 or lower in five weeks with a QB12 scoring week in between. You don’t always get there, but when you do he is winning weeks. 

Denver has swerved into an aggressive approach, blitzing on 33.0% of dropbacks, which is fourth in the league. Against the blitz, Herbert is completing 60.2% of his passes for 7.3 Y/A with five touchdowns and zero interceptions. If you can pressure Herbert, that is when he is impacted, completing just 49.4% of his passes for 5.0 Y/A. If Denver is going to blitz, they better make sure they can get home, or it could be a long afternoon. 

Denver is fifth in passing points allowed per game (12.9 points) and they have not yet allowed any quarterback to throw more than two touchdowns in a game this season against them. Herbert is a boom-or-bust QB1.

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