The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys Sunday Night Football game.

IndianapolisRank@DallasRank
10Spread-10
16.75Implied Total26.75
15.830Points/Gm25.47
20.311Points All./Gm172
64.811Plays/Gm62.916
62.413Opp. Plays/Gm63.622
4.927Off. Yards/Play5.612
4.96Def. Yards/Play4.95
37.53%27Rush%48.41%7
62.47%6Pass%51.59%26
48.20%29Opp. Rush %44.14%21
51.80%4Opp. Pass %55.86%12
  • Dallas has a +31 sack differential versus their opponents, best in the league. The next closest team (Tampa Bay) is +19.
  • The Cowboys are allowing 2.3 sacks plus turnovers per game on offense, the fewest in the league.
  • The Colts are allowing 5.3 sacks plus turnovers per game on offense, the most in the league.
  • The Cowboys are first in the NFL in points per drive (3.0) since Dak Prescott returned in Week 7.
  • The Colts are 31st in points per drive offensively (1.41) on the season. 
  • Dallas has converted 57.1% of their third downs since Prescott returned in Week 7, the highest rate in the league.
  • 79.0% of the Indianapolis pass attempts this season have come within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, the highest rate in the league.
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Quarterback

Dak Prescott: After reeling off three straight QB1 scoring weeks, Prescott was the QB18 (14.8 points) this past week against the Giants. Prescott got off to a rough start before a strong close to the game. In the first half, Prescott threw a pair of interceptions with a 44.8 rating before completing 11-of-14 passes for 10.4 yards per attempt with two touchdowns in the second half.

The Colts are running in the middle to the front of the pack against the pass, allowing a 68.5% completion rate (29th) since they play so much zone coverage, but they are allowing 6.9 yards per pass attempt (12th), 10.2 yards per completion (fifth), a 3.7% touchdown rate (10th), and 0.414 points per pass attempt (15th).

The real limitation here is that the Colts face just 29.7 pass attempts per game (third fewest) because they have trailed for so many snaps. The Colts have led in the second half for just 50 offensive snaps this season, ahead of only the Texans.

That swerves right into what we are getting from Prescott and the Cowboys. Dak has thrown more than 30 passes in just one game since returning to the field in Week 7. 

Prescott will need the Colts to put up a fight or be forced to play a hyper-efficient game to provide a spike week, leaving him more as a lower-end QB1.

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