In addition to all our detailed fantasy football breakdowns here at Sharp Football Analysis, you can also do your own research using our NFL Stats and Visualized Data tools.
To help you out, each week we’ll use these tools to highlight a few potential DFS stacks and value plays you may want to target for the upcoming slate of games.
All references to DFS salaries and scoring will refer to DraftKings. All betting spreads and totals are from BetMGM.
DFS STACK: MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
The Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Chargers are two of the most pass-heavy offenses in the league, giving us a great opportunity to stack this matchup in which Los Angeles is favored by three points.
When the score is within a touchdown, the Chargers and Vikings each throw the ball among the eight highest rates in the league.
The big-name receivers are all options: Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams. However, rostering more than two from that group will be challenging.
If you want to throw a third receiver into the mix, Chargers receiver Jaylen Guyton ($3,600) could be a low-salary, high-upside option. Guyton has produced an explosive play (reception of 20 or more yards) on 9% of his opportunities, the same rate as Allen.
DFS VALUE: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS QUARTERBACK TREVOR LAWRENCE
The Indianapolis Colts defense hasn’t fully lived up to expectations this season and has been especially shaky when defending a lead.
When playing with a lead, Indy has allowed a league-worst 58% success rate in the passing game, while giving up 7.7 yards per attempt.
Teams do tend to scale back their running game against Tampa 一 in part due to the game script 一 but Gibson’s role in the passing game should help make up for any diminished rushing volume. Gibson has at least two receptions in all but one game.
Most people are avoiding running backs facing Tampa this season, so Gibson could also have some value as a contrarian play.
DFS VALUE: DENVER BRONCOS TIGHT END NOAH FANT
After missing last week’s game due to COVID protocols, Noah Fant ($4,300) is expected to return against the Philadelphia Eagles this week.
Philadelphia has been a friendly defense for tight ends this season and opponents have taken advantage of the weakness.
Teams are targeting their tight end on a league-high 28% of pass attempts against the Eagles while also generating a 63% success rate.
If Fant is unable to go this week, Albert Okwuegbunam ($3,300) can be used in his place. Okwuegbunam saw five targets filling in for Fant in Week 9 against the Dallas Cowboys.
