The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 9 Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears Sunday afternoon game.

MiamiRank@ChicagoRank
-4.5Spread4.5
24.25Implied Total19.75
22.316Points/Gm19.423
2422Points All./Gm22.619
6121Plays/Gm59.526
61.612Opp. Plays/Gm60.410
6.23Off. Yards/Play5.322
5.926Def. Yards/Play5.722
36.68%26Rush%59.87%1
63.32%7Pass%40.13%32
38.95%7Opp. Rush %51.76%32
61.05%26Opp. Pass %48.24%1
  • 53.2% of the Chicago completions have gained 10 or more yards, second in the league behind the Eagles (54.5%).
  • 52.8% of the Miami completions have gained 10 or more yards, third in the league.
  • Miami has trailed for 63.3% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate for a team with a winning record.
  • The Bears are second in the league in rushing yardage gained on carries of 10 or more yards per game (101.8).
  • Miami is 28th in yardage gained on carries of 10 or more yards (35.4 per game).
  • 59.8% of the yardage gained by the Bears has come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
  • 45.5% of the yardage gained against the Bears has come via rushing, the second-highest rate in the league.
  • 23.2% of the yardage gained by Miami has come via rushing, 30th in the league.
  • Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in EPA per dropback targeting wide receivers (0.54) and is 17th in EPA per dropback (0.07) targeting running backs and tight ends.
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Quarterback

Tua Tagovailoa: Closing last week as the highest-scoring fantasy quarterback, Tagovailoa has not been a QB1 in three of his five full games played this season. Tua trails only Patrick Mahomes in passing points per attempt (0.587) for fantasy. 

The Bears are 28th in the league in pressure rate (26.7%) and although they have allowed the second-fewest passing points in the league (9.3 per game), they have faced just two fantasy starters this season in Kirk Cousins (22.2 fantasy points) and Dak Prescott (25.4 points). Outside of those two, Chicago has faced Trey Lance, Aaron Rodgers, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones, Carson Wentz, and the New England duo of Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe. They also are treading defensive starters away the past two weeks. 

Keep Tagovailoa locked in as a fantasy QB1.

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