The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 8 Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon game.

MiamiRank@BuffaloRank
13.5Spread-13.5
17.3Implied Total30.8
18.129Points/Gm33.82
29.631Points All./Gm16.32
62.618Plays/Gm69.82
68.328Opp. Plays/Gm57.81
4.928Off. Yards/Play5.911
6.126Def. Yards/Play4.71
32.88%32Rush%42.72%12
67.12%1Pass%57.28%21
40.59%14Opp. Rush %37.18%7
59.41%19Opp. Pass %62.82%26
  • Buffalo has scored 69.2% of the points in their games at home this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • Buffalo leads the league in the differential of 20-yard plays on offense versus allowed defensively at 15.
  • Miami is dead last in the same category at -20.
  • Buffalo has scored 69.2% of the points in their games at home this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • 46.9% of Josh Allen’s pass attempts have come in first downs, the highest rate in the league.
  • Allen is averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt on first down as opposed to 6.3 Y/A on all other downs. That 2.6 Y/A difference is the largest in the league.
  • 36.4% of Tua Tagovailoa’s pass attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown (16th) compared to 29.3% for Jacoby Brissett (35th).

Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards

Quarterback

Josh Allen (TRUST): Allen has scored 20 or more fantasy points in each of his past four games played since these teams met in Week 2 when he posted his lowest-scoring game of the season (16.7 points). In that game, Allen completed a season-low 51.5% of his passes. We know Miami is going to keep blitzing. They rank fourth in the league in blitz rate at 28.0%, and blitzed Allen on 33.3% of his dropbacks in Week 2, in which Allen struggled, completing 4-of-12 passes for 56 yards (4.7 yards per pass attempt).

Since that game, Allen has completed 22-of-33 passes (66.7%) for 284 yards (8.6 Y/A) against the blitz as he has handled pressure much better than early in the season. Miami has been dreadful defensively, ranking 31st in passing points allowed per game (20.2).

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