The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders Sunday afternoon game.
| Atlanta | Rank | @ | Washington | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | Spread | -4.5 | ||
| 18.5 | Implied Total | 23 | ||
| 23.5 | 12 | Points/Gm | 19.5 | 23 |
| 24.9 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 20.3 | 12 |
| 58 | 29 | Plays/Gm | 67.3 | 3 |
| 66.2 | 29 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 58.7 | 1 |
| 5.4 | 16 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.8 | 29 |
| 5.9 | 29 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 13 |
| 56.58% | 2 | Rush% | 44.32% | 12 |
| 43.42% | 31 | Pass% | 55.68% | 21 |
| 42.72% | 19 | Opp. Rush % | 41.64% | 14 |
| 57.28% | 14 | Opp. Pass % | 58.36% | 19 |
- Washington is allowing 24.4 yards per drive over their past five games (second in the league).
- Atlanta is averaging 111.8 fewer passing yards per game than their opponent, the lowest differential in the league.
- Atlanta is allowing 69.6 non-passing points per game for fantasy, the most in the league.
- Washington is eighth in touchdown rate per play allowed in the red zone (17.4%), fourth inside of the 10-yard line (22.8%), and second inside of the 5-yard line (22.2%).
- Opponents are averaging 43.5 touches per game against Washington, the fewest in the league.
- 50.8% of the Atlanta offensive yardage has come via rushing, second in the league.
- Washington has a 66.8% success rate against rushing plays, second in the league behind Tennessee (70.4%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Marcus Mariota: Mariota only threw the ball 20 times for 131 yards and a touchdown, but he managed to tack on 25 yards and a rushing touchdown to provide another serviceable line (17.7 points). Mariota has just two weeks this season finishing higher than QB9, but he also has just two weeks finishing lower than QB19. He is a steady floor-based QB2 that is capped by his offense.
As long as the Falcons keep winning, we are unlikely to see the team make a move, although I do believe we will see Desmond Ridder before the smoke clears on the 2022 season. That won’t be here, however.
Washington has faced one of the lightest quarterback schedules this season and Mariota fits right in. They have allowed a 5.1% touchdown rate (29th) to those passers to keep the doors open for some efficiency while Jalen Hurts and Davis Mills each have a rushing touchdown against Washington the past two weeks.
