The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon game.

AtlantaRank@MiamiRank
-2.5Spread2.5
25Implied Total22.5
2122Points/Gm16.529
29.631Points All./Gm29.529
67.68Plays/Gm61.321
6110Opp. Plays/Gm69.229
5.127Off. Yards/Play4.730
5.819Def. Yards/Play626
36.39%25Rush%31.25%32
63.61%8Pass%68.75%1
40.98%17Opp. Rush %41.45%18
59.02%16Opp. Pass %58.55%15
  • The average length of touchdown for the Dolphins is 6.8 yards, ahead of only the Bears (4.6 yards).
  • The Falcons lead the league in pass rate inside of the red zone (70.0%) and inside of the 10-yard line (69.6%).
  • Opposing teams are averaging 13.7 red zone plays per game against Miami, the most in the league.
  • Just 30.4% of Matt Ryan’s pass attempts have come on first down, the lowest rate in the league.
  • Miami is last in the NFL in differential in plays of 20 or more yards gained versus allowed at -15.

Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards

Quarterback

Matt Ryan (TRUST): Ryan hit last week’s bye week coming off back-to-back games as a QB1 in fantasy. He has thrown multiple touchdowns in each of his past four games with 283 or more passing yards in three of those four. We have seen the Falcons go pass-heavy, with Ryan now fifth in the league in dropbacks per game (43.0).

Ryan will look to stay productive against a Miami defense that has struggled and has both Xavien Howard (groin) and Byron Jones (Achilles) dealing with injuries that forced them to miss last week’s game in London. The Dolphins are 26th in points allowed per attempt (0.53) to opposing passers and 31st in passing points allowed per game (20.3). 

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