The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon game.

23.8Implied Total22.8
28.831Points All./Gm26.225
64.722Opp. Plays/Gm63.519
5.225Off. Yards/Play5.322
5.622Def. Yards/Play5.825
45.29%29Opp. Rush %45.20%28
54.71%4Opp. Pass %54.80%5
  • The Jaguars have scored on a league-low 25.2% of their offensive drives.
  • Jacksonville has forced 2.3 sacks plus turnovers per game, the fewest in the league.
  • The Jaguars are averaging 1.7 fewer yards per passing play than their opponent, ahead of only the Lions (-2.3 yards).
  • The Falcons are averaging a first down once every 3.7 plays, ahead of only the Texans (4.4).
  • 44.9% of Matt Ryan’s pass attempts have come on non-first downs needing seven or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
  • Atlanta is averaging 3.2 yards per rushing play on first down, 30th in the league.
  • Atlanta has run the ball 56.4% of their first down plays outside of the fourth quarter, the eighth highest rate in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Matt Ryan: Ryan has been the QB30 or lower in three of his past four starts. He has one standout performance sandwiched in there where he had 11.4 yards per pass attempt and 28.5 fantasy points against the Saints, but has passing yardage totals of 146, 117, and 153 yards around that game over the past month. 

The Falcons are doing Ryan no favors by putting him consistently in long down and distance situations while he has been pressured on 44.6% of his dropbacks over the past four weeks, the second-highest rate in the league.

The Jaguars do offer matchup appeal in 2QB formats for Ryan, ranking 31st in completion rate (71.8%), 29th in yards allowed per attempt (8.0 Y/A), and 22nd in passing points allowed per attempt (0.45).

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