Will Levis’ slide finally ended, the Seahawks spent another second-round pick on a running back, and tight ends came off the board early and often on Day 2 of the NFL Draft.

Titans End Will Levis’ Fall at 33rd Overall

Our third long national quarterback nightmare of the week ended when the Titans traded up to select Levis with the second pick in the second round.

The Titans were connected with Levis with No. 11 overall in a lot of mock drafts, so it is not a surprise they were willing to move up to get him on Day 2.

Tennessee also needs a long-term answer at quarterback.

Ryan Tannehill is in the final year of his contract, and the Titans could actually save $27 million against the 2023 cap if they cut him after June 1.

He started only 12 games last season due to injury, finishing 19th in EPA per dropback and 20th in success rate.

A third-round pick last year, Malik Willis did not look like the long-term answer in his three starts, and the Titans decided to start journeyman Josh Dobbs late in the season.

Levis could be that answer, but there is a reason he fell to the second round.

He struggled to avoid negative plays in college, throwing 25 interceptions on 738 career attempts (3.4%) and taking a sack on a class-high 30.4% of his pressures in 2022.

He was in the bottom quartile in on-target throw percentage at every level in 2022 and finished in the 3rd percentile on intermediate throws (11-19 yards).

Perhaps most damning, he left Penn State after not being able to beat out Sean Clifford, who went to the Packers in the fifth round.

Levis is 6-foot-4 and 229 pounds, has a rocket arm, and is athletic enough to make plays with his legs. He can also explain some of his 2022 struggles on a lack of talent, a new coordinator, and injuries.

There are reasons to believe Levis can develop into an NFL starter, and getting him in the second round means the Titans will not be under as much pressure to play him early – assuming they do not move on from Tannehill.

Of course, that is not great news for his fantasy value in 2023, and the lack of first-round draft capital puts a big dent in his Dynasty outlook.

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Lions Draft Hendon Hooker in the Third Round

While the rumors of Hooker getting into the first round never seemed true, it was almost a lock he would be taken on Day 2.

Hooker has several red flags on his resume including his age (25), the torn ACL that ended his 2022 season and possible Heisman win, and the fact that all of his success came in a favorable college system that limited pressure and did not require him to play out of structure.

He was dominant in that system, though, throwing for 6,080 yards and 58(!) touchdowns to just five(!) interceptions over two seasons.

He is also heading to a great situation for a quarterback coming off a serious injury who needs some time to develop.

The Lions have Jared Goff under contract for two more years at reasonable cap hits, so they have time to see what Hooker can become.

Despite the landing spot being good from a real life perspective, it is not great for fantasy.

Unlikely to start any games as a rookie barring injury, Hooker’s redraft value is basically non-existent, and he is nothing more than a late-round flier in deeper one-quarterback rookie drafts.

Seahawks Spend Another Second-Round Pick on Running Back, Add Zach Charbonnet

A year after drafting Ken Walker early in the second round, the Seahawks spent more early draft capital at the position when they drafted Charbonnet at No. 52 overall.

Walker showed he can be a workhorse last season, rushing for 1,050 yards and nine touchdowns on his way to a second-place finish in Offensive Rookie of the Year.

It is also odd because neither player projects as a great option in the passing game.

Charbonnet did catch 51 passes over the last two years, but he had a -0.9 aDOT in 2022, showcasing he was more of a checkdown option than a real receiving threat.

This is something of a disaster for the fantasy value of both Walker and Charbonnet.

For the former, it is tough to see him returning to the same role that resulted in 226 touches over his final 11 games in 2022, making his second-round ADP look shaky.

For Charbonnet, he appears headed into the wrong side of a timeshare early in his career, hurting both his redraft and Dynasty value.

Saints Add Kendre Miller As Alvin Kamara Insurance

New Orleans already brought in Jamaal Williams in free agency, and Miller offers another layer of insurance with Kamara potentially facing a long suspension.

It does not hurt that Miller is a quality prospect.

Unlike many of the backs in this class, Miller has good size at 5-foot-11, 215 pounds. We did not get any athletic testing out of him because of the knee injury that kept him out of the National Championship Game, but Miller appears to have good speed for a back of his size.

Given a real workload in his final college season, Miller responded with 1,399 yards and 17 touchdowns on 224 carries.

Unfortunately, the landing spot is not ideal from a fantasy perspective.

Even if Kamara is suspended, Williams will likely take on the lead role, and Miller profiles more like a similar back to Williams than a complementary piece.

New Orleans does have an out on Kamara’s contract after this season, one they could take if his efficiency continues to slide, but as it stands both Kamara and Williams are under contract through 2025.

Miller is talented, and the Saints spent Day 2 draft capital on him. That alone makes him worth a look in the second round of Dynasty rookie drafts, but this was not the ideal fantasy destination both in the short and long term.

Tyjae Spears, Devon Achane, and Tank Bigsby Drafted in Third Round

Only three more running backs came off the board on Friday night.

Spears went No. 81 to the Titans and should immediately slot in as the complementary back to Derrick Henry.

He is a fast, explosive back that can create big plays in the running game and be effective in the passing game right out of the gate. That is exactly the kind of back the Titans need behind Henry.

Unfortunately for Spears, non-Henry Titans running backs amassed 98 touches total last season, and 19 of those came in the game Henry missed.

Spears should be a better option than what the Titans had last season and command a little more work, but it is tough to see him carrying standalone fantasy value while Henry is healthy.

Of course, Henry is 29, has 1,337 touches over the last four seasons, and is entering the final year of his contract. Henry’s name has also come up in trade rumors, and it is possible he is moved during the season if the Titans struggle as expected.

Achane does not have anyone as good as Henry ahead of him on the depth chart, but the Dolphins did bring back both Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson this offseason.

Standing just 5-foot-8, 188 pounds, it is also unclear what kind of role Achane will be able to maintain in a league that has typecast backs his size as secondary and gadget players.

What is unquestioned is Achane’s speed after he ran a 4.32 40 at the Combine – the Dolphins are building an elite 4×100 team – and we have seen how deadly Mostert’s speed can be in this system.

With a creative offensive coach, perhaps Achene can break the mold of a “little” running back.

Bigsby was the final running back pick of the day, landing with the Jaguars at No. 88.

Jacksonville had been clear about adding a complementary back to Travis Etienne, and the 6-foot, 210-pound Bigsby should be able to fill that role well.

Packers Add Help for Jordan Love, Draft Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed, and Tucker Kraft

One of Aaron Rodgers’ complaints when he was with the Packers was a lack of draft capital spent on pass catchers. It seems like that will not be an issue for Love.

The Packers finished a tight end run by drafting Musgrave at No. 42 overall, added Reed eight picks later, and grabbed Kraft in the third round.

Musgrave and Kraft fill a big need for an offense that lost both Robert Tonyan and Marcedes Lewis in free agency.

Musgrave might have gone even earlier if not for a knee injury that ended his final college season after just two games. He logged 11 catches for 169 yards in those contests with what would have been a class-high 3.52 yards per route run.

He was healthy enough to participate in the pre-draft process, posting a 36-inch vertical, 10-foot-5 broad, and 4.61 40. His relative athletic score (RAS) is 9.78 out of 10.

Given his limited history (47 catches total in college) and the difficulty most tight ends face transitioning to the NFL, it is wise to temper fantasy expectations this season.

Kraft is also a strong athlete, logging a 4.69 40 and 9.68 RAS at 6-foot-5, 254 pounds, and was limited in his final college season by injury.

He averaged 4.1 catches per game, the third-highest mark among tight ends in this class, and had 770 yards and six touchdowns in his healthy 2021.

Both players would have more Dynasty value if the other was not also selected by Green Bay, but this depth chart is wide open, and both players have long-term Dynasty upside given their athletic traits.

Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs appeared locked in at the top of the depth chart, but the Packers did not have much of anything behind them. In fact, they had five receivers total on the roster heading into the draft.

They now have six after drafting Reed at No. 50 overall, and he should be given every chance to win the No. 3 job.

Reed did not have the best 2022, but he logged 59 catches for 1,026 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2021.

While his RAS is middling in part to his 5-foot-10, 187-pound frame, he did log a 4.45 40 with an elite 1.53 10-yard split at the Combine. That showed up in the 46 plays of 20 or more yards he contributed over his final two years.

From a fantasy perspective, Reed is not the strongest prospect and will enter the league behind two young receivers in an offense with an uncertain quarterback situation.

That is not the most appealing situation in either redraft or Dynasty, but he will at least have a chance to earn an early role.

Jonathan Mingo First of 10 Receivers Draft on Day 2

Mingo helped his draft stock in a big way when he ran a 4.48 40 with an elite 1.52 10-yard split, jumped 39.5 inches in the vertical, and added a 10-foot-9 broad jump at 6-foot-2, 220 pounds.

Especially given the lack of size in this year’s receiver corps, it is not a surprise he was the first receiver off the board in the second round, landing with the Panthers and their desperately thin receiving corps.

He never really produced in college, though, finishing with 1,758 yards and 12 touchdowns across 34 career games in four seasons despite those athletic gifts.

Mingo is a tough fantasy puzzle because he has a great athletic profile, high-end draft capital, and a smooth road to playing time, but he also has a well below average production profile.

The risk-reward proposition probably makes sense in the second round of rookie drafts, and he is worth a late-round flier in redraft formats while we wait to see if he can earn playing time.

Rashee Rice is another bigger receiver (6-foot-1, 204 pounds) who tested well (9.53 RAS) and landed in an uncertain receiver situation. Even better, that receiver situation is attached to Patrick Mahomes.

Rice might even be worth a look in the late first round of one quarterback rookie drafts, but like Mingo, he is a solid second-round rookie pick and late-round flier in redraft.

Marvin Mims was the final second-round receiver, landing with the Broncos at No. 63 overall.

It is an odd pick for a team with limited draft capital that already has Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick under contract, but there have been rumors of Sutton and Jeudy being on the trade block.

Mims will likely need one of those trades to actually happen to gain significant playing time as a rookie.

Josh Downs is undersized at 5-foot-9, 171 pounds, but he is a good athlete (4.48 40, 38.5-inch vertical, 8.99 RAS) that simply gets open.

The Colts added Isaiah McKenzie to be their slot receiver, but Downs might already be a better player and is a good bet to take on that No. 3 role behind Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce.

In the short-term, the third option on an offense led by a developing Anthony Richardson or Gardner Minshew is not an exciting fantasy prospect, but Pittman is headed into the final year of his rookie deal, and this offense will carry a ton of long-term upside if Richardson hits his ceiling.

Downs is a target in Dynasty rookie drafts.

A big-play machine at Tennessee, Jalin Hyatt parlayed a massive, Biletnikoff-winning 2022 into a third-round pick by the Giants.

Hyatt offers desperately needed downfield ability to a receiver room full of players who like to play around the line of scrimmage.

That downfield ability usually came from the slot in college, however, and that seems to be where every Giants receiver wants to play. Hyatt also has some growing to do coming out of Tennessee’s offense.

Still, his calling card is something the Giants desperately need, and they should find ways to get him on the field.

Hyatt’s teammate in college, Cedric Tillman was an interesting pick by the Browns given their lack of draft capital and already solid situation at receiver. Donovan Peoples-Jones is heading into the final year of his rookie contract, but it is tough to see a ton of snaps for Tillman right out of the gate.

Rounding out the third round, Nathaniel Dell went to the Texans with the 69th pick, Michael Wilson landed with the Cardinals at the 94th pick, and the Raiders selected Tre Tucker with the 100th pick.

Draft capital will move them up rookie draft boards, but no one in that trio stood out as a particularly good fantasy prospect heading into the draft.

It is especially odd that Tucker went ahead of college teammate Tyler Scott, easily the best receiver left on the board.

Tight Ends Come Off the Board Early

Musgrave was the third tight end off the board on Friday night after Sam LaPorta and Michael Mayer were taken back-to-back by teams that need help at tight end.

LaPorta ended up with the Lions, a team that traded away T.J. Hockenson last season and did not see anyone really step up to fill that void down the stretch.

LaPorta carried Iowa’s passing game, accounting for 30.4% of their receptions and 32% of their receiving yards. Those shares were second and first in the class respectively.

He also dominated the Combine with a 4.59 40, 35-inch vertical, and 10-foot-3 broad jump. He also excelled in the agility drills on his way to a 9.01 RAS.

Those athletic skills showed up after the catch. LaPorta led tight ends with 368 yards after the catch and 20 forced missed tackles in 2022 according to PFF.

The normal rookie tight end caution applies, but LaPorta has a clean path to playing time, a good athletic profile, and is joining an ascending offense.

Mayer also landed on a team that needed a tight end, and he fits what we have seen the Raiders do since adding Jimmy Garoppolo.

After adding Jakobi Meyers to replace Mack Hollins and trading away Darren Waller, the Raiders look ready to lean into a lower-aDOT offense that fits what Garoppolo does best.

Mayer is not an elite athlete (7.66 RAS) and his average depth of target (8.0) and yards per target (8.2) in college suggest he will be an underneath option at the next level.

He was a target monster in that role, however, accounting for 31.5% of Notre Dame’s targets, 31.9% of their receptions, and 36% of their touchdowns.

That volume will be difficult to find with Davante Adams and Meyers on the depth chart, limiting Mayer’s short-term upside, but he remains one of the better Dynasty bets at the position.

Darnell Washington is the other standout fantasy prospect taken on Day 2 after running a 4.64 40 at 6-foot-7, 264 pounds, good enough for a 9.88 RAS.

Washington was not productive in college, finishing his three years with 774 yards and three touchdowns combined.

Playing with Brock Bowers did not help his cause, and his ability as a blocker kept him out of the route tree.

He could have similar issues behind Pat Freiermuth on the Steelers, but he has the upside to be a real playmaker at a fantasy position desperate for them.

Luke Schoonmaker (Cowboys), Brenton Strange (Jaguars), and Cameron Latu (49ers) rounded out the tight ends on Day 2.

Schoonmaker is big (6-foot-5, 251 pounds), fast (4.63 40), and athletic (9.86 RAS). He also got second-round draft capital from a Cowboys team with an unsettled situation at tight end.

He should be moved up rookie draft boards.

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