The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers Sunday morning London game.

NY GiantsRank@Green BayRank
8Spread-8
16.75Implied Total24.75
1918Points/Gm18.821
17.89Points All./Gm17.37
6413Plays/Gm64.811
58.86Opp. Plays/Gm54.81
5.221Off. Yards/Play5.810
5.719Def. Yards/Play5.415
52.34%5Rush%44.79%10
47.66%28Pass%55.21%23
47.23%27Opp. Rush %46.58%24
52.77%6Opp. Pass %53.42%9
  • Only 8.6% of the New York plays have been run in the red zone, the lowest rate in the league.
  • Just 17.8% (8-of-45) of the Giants’ drives have reached the red zone, the lowest rate in the league.
  • 19.1% (8-of-42) drives against the Packers have reached the red zone, the third lowest rate in the league.
  • The Giants (43.9%) and the Packers (41.0%) are the top two teams in blitz rate on opponent passing plays.
  • Green Bay ranks 18th in pressure rate per blitz on passing plays (39.6%) while the Giants rank 19th (38.9%).
  • The Giants are averaging 4.6 yards per passing play, the fewest in the league.
  • Just 3-of-29 (10.3%) third down passing plays against Green Bay have been converted, the lowest rate in the league.
  • Just 6-of-37 (16.2%) third down passing plays against New York have been converted, second lowest in the league.
  • 32.6% of the Giants’ rushing attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the highest rate in the league.
  • 31.9% of the Green Bay rushing attempts have resulted in a first down or touchdown, fourth in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers has had to work for floor production to open the season. He has not scored 17 or more fantasy points in any game yet this season but has finished as a solid QB2 play the past three weeks, closing as the QB12-QB16 in all three weeks with at least 16.0 points in every game. 

Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all three of those games, but he has a high of 255 passing yards and currently is sporting a 2.3% interception rate, which would be the highest in a season since 2017 if it holds. 

Teams have only blitzed Rodgers on 22.9% of his dropbacks (28th in the league). On those dropbacks, Rodgers has a 77.4% completion rate (fifth) and 8.7 yards per attempt (sixth). The Giants have been the most aggressive defense all season long with the blitz, but when Wink Martindale was with the Ravens a year ago, they blitzed Rodgers on just two of his 36 dropbacks.

Rodgers is also ninth in completion rate against man coverage (62.9%) with an 11.4% touchdown rate (sixth), so it would be wise for Martindale to adjust his approach in the early season as the Giants have played man coverage on 44.4% of passing plays, second in the league. 

Rodgers has not showcased a front-end season to be treated as more than a fringe QB1, but if the Giants remain aggressive in their approach there is a runway for Rodgers to have his best game of the season.

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