The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 14 New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon game.

NY JetsRank@BuffaloRank
9.5Spread-9.5
17.5Implied Total27
2118Points/Gm27.83
18.66Points All./Gm17.44
63.715Plays/Gm66.36
63.922Opp. Plays/Gm6210
5.319Off. Yards/Play6.23
4.83Def. Yards/Play5.210
39.79%21Rush%40.33%20
60.21%12Pass%59.67%13
43.16%19Opp. Rush %38.71%6
56.84%14Opp. Pass %61.29%27
  • The Jets are allowing a league-low 26.6 yards per possession.
  • The Bills are averaging 39.4 yards per drive, second in the league.
  • The Jets have limited opponents to scoring on 30.0% of their drives, fourth in the league.
  • The Bills have allowed opponents to score on 30.8% of drives, fifth in the league.
  • Buffalo is allowing 3.1 scoring plays per game, the fewest in the league.
  • The Jets have allowed 3.5 scoring plays per game, sixth in the league.
  • The Bills have scored on 31.0% (9-of-29) of their plays inside of the 5-yard line this season, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Jets have scored on 31.8% (7-of-22), the second-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Bills are second in the NFL in points per drive in the first half of games (3.14).
  • Buffalo has scored a touchdown on 3-of-31 (9.7%) of their second half possessions since their Week 7 bye, 31st in the league.
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Quarterback

Josh Allen: Allen was able to get by as the QB12 last week (16.9 points) despite throwing for just 6.8 yards per pass attempt (223 yards) and rushing for only 20 yards. Over his past six games, Allen is averaging 237.7 passing yards, 7.0 Y/A with eight touchdowns and seven interceptions after averaging 330 passing yards per game with 8.3 Y/A and 17 passing touchdowns with four interceptions over his opening six games. 

Allen has weird splits as the Bills have struggled in the second half of games of late. In the second half of games over his past six, Allen has completed 59.6% of his passes with just one touchdown as opposed to throwing seven touchdowns in the opening half of those games.

Despite the mixed bag, Allen has still managed to be a QB1 scorer in 10-of-12 games due to his rushing ability and touchdown equity in the offense. Allen has accounted for 83.3% of the Buffalo touchdowns this season, the highest rate among quarterbacks. Even if this is not a ceiling spot, Allen’s blend of floor and upside always has him in play as a QB1.

That is how the first matchup between these teams played out as well. Allen was forced to work through the air as a passer, completing 18-of-34 passes (52.9%) for 205 yards (6.0 Y/A) without a touchdown and a pair of interceptions. On the ground, however, Allen rushed for 86 yards and a touchdown. 

The Jets are allowing just 10.2 passing points per game (third) and Allen is the only quarterback that has finished higher than QB19 against them in a game since Week 4.

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