NFL Showdown is not about who you play as much as how you play them.
Median projections are a tool in the toolbox, but they are to be trusted far less than they would be on the main slate. This is because of the large ramifications associated with a single player underproducing or overproducing relative to their projection.
The most likely outcome is only one of infinite outcomes.
When ownership dictates that the field has the game figured out, lean into builds around a different scenario.
The term “any given Sunday” should be the mantra for successfully building Showdown lineups.
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Slate Breakdown
The Cincinnati Bengals are heading to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars as 10-point underdogs. The total is set to 39.5.
The Bengals are entering their second full game with Jake Browning at the helm. Browning performed admirably but attempted about half the passes we would have expected from Burrow.
DraftKings responded by dropping the price of most of the team, except Browning himself remains a bit too expensive.
The Jaguars are heavy favorites at home, thus making them the staples of our lineups.
Injury Notes
Travis Etienne – Ribs – Questionable
Cincinnati Bengals Offense
Tier 1 DFS Showdown Plays:
Ja’Marr Chase $9,400 –
Chase is averaging six targets per game over the last three outings after being amongst the league leaders in targets entering Week 8. Even with a decreased target share, Chase is plenty reasonable at such a low salary. He can easily outscore the field on six targets.
Jake Browning $8,800 –
Browning could’ve been a touch cheaper, but he’s still viable with such a low total. He would only need one touchdown and a couple hundred yards to pay off his salary. The only real issue is that he’s in the same range as both Ridley and Kirk. He’s also almost $2,000 more than Mixon, who projects similarly.
