NFL Showdown is not about who you play as much as how you play them.

Median projections are a tool in the toolbox, but they are to be trusted far less than they would be on the main slate. This is because of the large ramifications associated with a single player underproducing or overproducing relative to their projection.

The most likely outcome is only one of infinite outcomes.

When ownership dictates that the field has the game figured out, lean into builds around a different scenario.

The term “any given Sunday” should be the mantra for successfully building Showdown lineups.


Our annual free week has wrapped up, and we hope you didn’t miss out! Since the start of November, our sides and totals are 22-9 (71%) and our elevated plays are 22-7 (76%). For the season, a $100 bettor on our standard unit size release is up $4,906. We want everyone to stay on board, so we’re offering an enormous discount for a limited time. Use code SHARP71 to get an astonishing 71% off any package we offer! It’s not too good to be true, but it will end soon. Click here to learn more.


Slate Breakdown

The Chicago Bears are heading to Minnesota to take on the Vikings as 3-point underdogs. The total is set at 44.

Justin Fields returned in Week 11 after being sidelined for four games with a thumb injury. He managed just 169 passing yards and a passing touchdown through the air, but he produced 104 yards on 18 carries on the ground.

With Chicago willing to run Fields, his floor is as high as anyone in the league.

The issue on this slate is that Joshua Dobbs has established a respectable floor himself and projects better from a point-per-dollar perspective. This is especially evident when comparing the top options for each quarterback.

The Vikings’ top two options cost $19,000 while the Bears’ top stack eats up $21,600. Pair this with the fact that the Vikings are favored at home, and it makes Minnesota stacks far more appealing.

Injury Notes

D’Onta Foreman – Ankle – Out

Chicago Bears Offense

Tier 1 DFS Showdown Plays:

Justin Fields $11,200 –

Fields’ struggles as a passer last week can be largely forgiven. The Bears were in control for much of the game and kept the ball on the ground as often as possible. He still completed nearly 70% of his passes and managed over 10 yards per attempt. With another week removed from the thumb injury in a competitive game script, Fields can be expected to get closer to 30 attempts.

D.J. Moore $10,400 –

While the Bears sought to take the air out of the ball for most of the game, Moore’s role remained dominant. He caught 7-of-9 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown. He is the only safe pairing with Fields, but comfort doesn’t come cheap as Moore is $400 more expensive than Joshua Dobbs. His median projection is 2.5 points lower.

THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW, KEEP READING FOR FREE

Enter your email to unlock this article and get access to our email newsletter

Dominate Fantasy All Year Long
Rankings, Projections & More