The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears Sunday afternoon game.

Green BayRank@ChicagoRank
-3Spread3
22.75Implied Total19.75
19.623Points/Gm20.919
23.622Points All./Gm25.427
61.422Plays/Gm60.524
61.38Opp. Plays/Gm59.22
5.613Off. Yards/Play5.318
5.619Def. Yards/Play5.929
41.11%18Rush%59.23%1
58.89%15Pass%40.77%32
50.82%30Opp. Rush %51.97%32
49.18%3Opp. Pass %48.03%1
  • Six straight games with the Bears involved have met or exceeded the game total, the most in the league since Week 7.
  • Over their past five games, Chicago has allowed opponents to score a touchdown on 39.6% of their drives, the highest rate in the league.
  • Over that same span, opponents have scored a touchdown on 34.0% of their drives against Green Bay, the second-highest rate in the league.
  • Chicago is allowing 3.02 points per drive over that span (32nd) while Green Bay is allowing 2.58 (31st).
  • The Packers have run an offensive play with the lead in just five games this season, the fewest in the league.
  • The Bears are averaging 2.0 yards fewer per passing play than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
  • 45.2% of the yardage gained against the Packers has come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
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Quarterback

Packers QB: Aaron Rodgers was forced from the game on Sunday night with an oblique injury, placing his status for Sunday in doubt. Rodgers has stated that he is going to play if allowed to, but with the Green Bay bye week coming in Week 14, we may see the team give him the extra time to get right. Rodgers has also been playing with a broken thumb on top of his latest injury. 

Rodgers did throw two interceptions before leaving Sunday night, but he also was 11-of-16 for 8.8 yards per pass attempt and a pair of touchdowns. If he can start here against the Bears, Rodgers will have one of his best matchups of the season and can be played in 1QB leagues. 

Over the past five weeks, the Bears are allowing a league-high 9.4 yards per pass attempt while they are allowing a 72.7% completion rate (31st) with a 3.0% sack rate (32nd) over that span. Quarterbacks are averaging 21.3 fantasy points per game against them over that period, including a 24.8-point outing this past week to Mike White. 

If Rodgers cannot play, then Jordan Love becomes a matchup-based option for those filling the position or looking to attack what has quickly become the worst defense in the NFL. In relief of Rodgers last week, Love was 6-of-9 for 113 yards and a touchdown. 

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