The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Broncos and Packers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | Spread | 2.5 | ||
| 23.0 | Implied Total | 20.5 | ||
| 24.8 | 10 | Points/Gm | 23.7 | 14 |
| 19.0 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 18.1 | 4 |
| 60.2 | 21 | Plays/Gm | 64.1 | 10 |
| 61.4 | 15 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.0 | 22 |
| 5.7 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 15 |
| 4.7 | 5 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 1 |
| 48.02% | 4 | Rush% | 41.42% | 23 |
| 51.98% | 29 | Pass% | 58.58% | 10 |
| 41.98% | 14 | Opp. Rush % | 38.22% | 3 |
| 58.02% | 19 | Opp. Pass % | 61.78% | 30 |
- The Broncos are the only team left undefeated at home this season (6-0).
- Denver has won 11 straight home games, their longest streak as a franchise since the 2004-2005 seasons.
- The Packers are averaging 2.83 points per drive on the road (2nd).
- Denver has allowed 1.39 points per drive at home (2nd).
- The Packers have allowed 2.51 points per drive on the road (25th) compared to 1.59 points per drive at home (7th).
- Green Bay (4.4 yards) and Denver (4.5 yards) are 1st and 2nd in yards allowed per play on first downs.
- The Packers allow 2.0 sacks plus turnovers per game, the fewest in the league.
- The Broncos allow 2.3 sacks plus turnovers per game, 4th in the league.
- Denver averages 5.0 sacks plus takeaways per game on defense, 1st in the league.
- The Broncos are allowing 4.6 plays of 15 or more yards per game, the fewest in the NFL.
- The Packers are allowing 4.8 plays of 15 or more yards per game, 2nd in the league.
- Green Bay has converted 68.1% (32 of 47) of red zone trips into touchdowns, 2nd in the league.
- The Broncos have allowed a league-low 40% (14 of 35) touchdown rate in the red zone.
- The Packers have converted a league-best 50.6% of their third downs.
- Denver is allowing a league-low 30.9% conversion rate on third downs.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love: Love has put together three QB1 scoring weeks over the past four weeks.
All of those have come in identifiable spots against the Giants, Lions, and Bears.
This is a spot to pump the brakes and handle Love as more of a QB2.
The Broncos are allowing 11.7 passing points per game (6th), a 58.3% completion rate (3rd), 6.3 yards per pass attempt (4th), and a league-low 2.9% touchdown rate.
Love has faced two teams higher than Denver in passing points allowed, finishing as the QB22 (7.8 points) against the Eagles and QB26 (7.1 points) against the Vikings.
How Green Bay handles the Denver pass rush is critical here, since Love is the most sensitive passer under pressure this season.
Denver is eighth in pressure rate (39.6%) and first in sack rate (10,9%).
Love does not take many sacks (his 4.5% sack rate is 6th), but he has a 40.5% completion rate under pressure (31st), 4.7 yards per pass attempt (31st), and a 0% touchdown rate.
Without pressure, Love leads the league with an 80.8% completion rate, 11.7 Y/A (2nd), and an 8.6% touchdown rate (2nd).
Bo Nix: Nix has not been a QB1 scorer since Week 8 against the Cowboys.
His spike weeks have been in great spots (Cowboys, Bengals, and Giants all at home).
With a lower-end team total against a good pass defense, Nix is also a QB2 here.
The Packers are a zone-heavy defense that aims to push quarterbacks off their first reads and keep the ball in their hands.
That has been a thorn in Nix's second season.
Against zone coverages, Nix has completed 65.7% of his passes (28th) for 6.4 yards per pass attempt (29th).
Green Bay is seventh in passing points allowed per attempt (0.379) while Nix is 31st in passing points per attempt (0.374).
Running Back
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More Week 15 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Falcons @ Bucs | Thursday Night Football |
| Browns @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Saints | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
| Dolphins @ Steelers | Monday Night Football |
