The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 4 New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers Sunday afternoon game.
| New England | Rank | @ | Green Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | Spread | -10.5 | ||
| 14.75 | Implied Total | 25.25 | ||
| 16.7 | 25 | Points/Gm | 16 | 27 |
| 23.7 | 22 | Points All./Gm | 15 | 6 |
| 61 | 21 | Plays/Gm | 62.7 | 15 |
| 58.7 | 8 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 53.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 11 |
| 5.4 | 15 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 17 |
| 44.26% | 10 | Rush% | 43.09% | 12 |
| 55.74% | 23 | Pass% | 56.91% | 21 |
| 40.34% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 42.86% | 21 |
| 59.66% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 57.14% | 12 |
- Opponents have converted 22.6% (7-of-31) of third down plays against the Packers, the lowest rate in the league.
- Green Bay is second in the league in success rate allowed per dropback (39.4%).
- The Packers are averaging 31.7 seconds of possession per play, the slowest rate in the league.
- Aaron Rodgers leads the league in the rate of throws at or behind the line of scrimmage (38.3%). League average is 21.3%.
- Rodgers’s 3.1 air yards per completed pass is the lowest in the league.
- Aaron Jones is fourth among running backs in EPA per rushing attempt (0.18) while A.J. Dillon is 37th (-0.22) among 41 backs with 20 or more carries on the season.
Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers has posted 16.4 and 16.1 points the past two weeks after he started off the season with a dud (3.7 points). The ceiling has been elusive to open the season as Rodgers has thrown for 235 yards or fewer in all three games, but the past two weeks have gotten him back to lower-end QB1/high QB2 territory. He is shaping up to be a floor-based fantasy play, but we have gotten multiple passing touchdowns in each of the past two weeks.
This week the Packers draw a New England defense that is allowing 16.1 passing points per game (20th), right where Rodgers has lived the past two weeks.
