Ravens vs. Patriots Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 16

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Ravens and Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Drake Maye: Maye turned in one of his weakest passing lines of the season on Sunday, throwing for a season-low 155 yards.

The Patriots had two long rushing touchdowns impact possessions, but Maye also threw for 6.7 yards per pass attempt, his lowest rate since the season opener.

That snapped a streak of 10 consecutive games in which Maye threw for at least 8.0 yards per pass attempt or better.

The Bills forced Maye to hold the football.

His 3.28 seconds from snap to throw were his highest of the season.

When Maye held the ball 3 seconds or longer, he was 4 of 11 (36.45) for 44 yards (4.0 Y/A) with an interception and 3 sacks.

When he got the ball out within 2.5 seconds, Maye was 7 of 9 (77.8%) for 69 yards (7.7 Y/A).

Despite a down passing week, Maye was still the QB13 (20.5 points) because he added 43 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

We have been begging for the Patriots to use Maye’s legs in the lower red zone since the team has struggled in that area of the field, and they finally did on Sunday.

As good a season as Maye has had, he has lived as a floor-based QB1 of late.

He has not finished higher than QB9 in a week since Week 8.

He also held a high floor over that span (15 or more points in every game), so nothing is alarming; we have just been missing the spike weeks we were accustomed to early in the season.

This is another spot where Maye is more of that floor-based QB1 option.

Over their past nine games, the Ravens have allowed a 58.6% completion rate (5th), 6.5 Y/A (9th), and a league-low 1.9% touchdown rate.

They have had one of the softer schedules in the league over that span, but they are 14th in adjusted points allowed to quarterbacks as well (-2.2), as they had held Matthew Stafford (9.3 points), Caleb Williams (11.4 points), and Joe Burrow this past week (5.5 points) below their season rates.

They also have allowed QB1 scoring weeks to Burrow (19.2 points) and Aaron Rodgers (21.5 points) over that span, still offering upside for Maye.

There is a fun shootout version of this game within the range of outcomes.

The Ravens play man coverage on 31.6% of their snaps, fifth in the league.

Maybe has thrown for 9.2 yards per pass attempt (2nd) against man coverage with 14.5 yards per completion (3rd).

Lamar Jackson: It did not show up in the box score due to another weird game script, but Jackson looked physically better again on Sunday for the second straight game.

Jackson only finished the week as the QB22 (14.6 points), completing 8 of 12 passes for 150 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception while rushing twice for 26 yards.

The Ravens only ran 40 offensive plays on Sunday, their fewest in a game with Jackson this season.

They had only 3 pass attempts in the second half, which muted their production.

The Bengals had the football for 13 minutes in the fourth quarter on Sunday.

They had a 16-play drive that ended in a pick-6 followed by an 11-play drive that ended in downs.

In terms of per-play production, Jackson threw for a season-high 12.5 yards per pass attempt and 1.0 points per pass attempt, his highest since Week 9.

Maybe it is cope, but Jackson feels close to being back.

The week prior, he scored 21.1 points against the Steelers.

I would give him another spin as a QB1 here as a home favorite attached to a solid team total.

The Patriots are also a team that runs man coverage at an above-average rate (29.8% which is 8th).

Jackson is averaging 8.2 Y/A against man coverage (6th) with 15.0 yards per completion (2nd).

Like Baltimore, the Patriots have not been overly challenged defensively, even worse than the Ravens.

The only fantasy QB1 scorers they have faced have been Josh Allen (24.5 and 19.4 points allowed) and Jaxson Dart (13.6 points).

Running Back

Derrick Henry: For the second time in two weeks against the Bengals, Henry only managed 11 touches.

He still turned those into 100 yards, but without a touchdown or a reception, those were empty-calorie fantasy points.

The wonky game script impacted Henry’s overall touches, but he also only had 52.4% of the backfield touches, his lowest rate of the season.

We have seen Keaton Mitchell get more involved in the base offense in recent weeks, and for good reason.

Mitchell is averaging 7.6 yards per touch and 7.6 yards per rush.

Henry still has at least 20 touches in each of his past seven “non-Bengal” games, but his two lowest rates of backfield attempts have come over the past three weeks, while Mitchell left Week 14 early.

It is just something to keep an eye on that can make Henry more touchdown-dependent and less of a volume-based RB1 than he already is, but he is still the lead back in the offense.

The Patriots have been weaker against the run in recent weeks since losing Milton Williams, who is out at least one more game.

Without Williams these past three games, they have allowed 4.7 yards per carry (23rd) to running backs with a 54.2% success rate (26th).

They have allowed a run of 10 or more yards on 10.4% of backfield runs (19th) after a 6.1% rate prior (3rd).

Chase Brown ran 19 times for 107 yards in Week 12, Devin Singletary and Tyrone Tracy combined for 104 rushing yards in Week 13, and James Cook rushed for 107 yards on Sunday against them.

Robert Spillane also missed last week’s game but is expected back this Sunday night.

TreVeyon Henderson: Henderson came out of the bye with 161 total yards on 16 touches.

Henderson had touchdown runs of 52 and 65 yards.

That gave Henderson 4 touchdown runs this season of 50 or more yards, the most in the NFL.

That is the most 50-yard touchdown runs by a rookie in a season since Saquon Barkley in 2018.

It was the second game this season in which Henderson had multiple 50-yard touchdown runs.

The last player to do that multiple times in a season was Chris Johnson in 2009.

Rhamondre Stevenson played more snaps (34) than Henderson (25) since he is still trusted in pass protection, but Stevenson only had 36% of the backfield touches, his second time in three games below 40%.

Henderson is still a boom-or-bust RB2, but he brings big-play upside to the offense that Stevenson does not.

Stevenson is a touchdown-dependent FLEX.

The Ravens have allowed some chunk gains on the ground.

Over this better run for them defensively the past nine games, they have allowed a run of 10 or more yards on 12.1% of backfield runs, 24th in the league.

Wide Receiver

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