The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 New England Patriots at Houston Texans Sunday afternoon game.

New EnglandRank@HoustonRank
24.5Implied Total15
17.56Points All./Gm2928
6419Opp. Plays/Gm66.524
525Off. Yards/Play4.729
4.84Def. Yards/Play625
47.66%29Opp. Rush %46.24%27
52.34%4Opp. Pass %53.76%6
  • The Patriots are 28th in points per play (.283) on offense while the Texans are 26th (.299).
  • The Texans are averaging -138.5 fewer yards from scrimmage per game than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
  • 30.2% of the fantasy points allowed by the Texans have come via rushing, the largest rate in the league.
  • Davis Mills is 2-of-12 passing for 51 yards and two interceptions on throws over 15 yards downfield.
  • New England is 26-6 against starting rookie quarterbacks under Bill Belichick. 
  • In those 32 games, those rookie passers have completed just 54.3% of their passes for 6.3 yards per pass attempt to go with 25 touchdown passes and 47 interceptions.

Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards


Mac Jones: Jones completed 31-of-40 passes for 275 yards and a pair of scores on Sunday night, but was still just the QB21 in scoring (16.9 points). Jones has been blitzed more than any quarterback in the league (38.5% of the time), so this matchup should be a break from that in his early career since Houston has blitzed just 11.3% of the time, which is the fourth-lowest rate in the league.  

After a negative game script in Week 3 and facing a pass-funnel Bucs D last week, we also should anticipate the 56 and 48 dropbacks for Jones the past weeks to recoil closer to the 31 dropbacks he had in Week 2 against the Jets. Houston has allowed 17 or more fantasy points to all four quarterbacks they have faced so far to give Jones life as a floor-based QB2.

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