The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 9 Las Vegas Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon game.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | Jacksonville | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | Spread | 1 | ||
| 24.25 | Implied Total | 23.25 | ||
| 23.3 | 12 | Points/Gm | 21.5 | 20 |
| 24.9 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 19.8 | 10 |
| 60.4 | 24 | Plays/Gm | 64 | 11 |
| 63.3 | 17 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.3 | 21 |
| 5.6 | 12 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 11 |
| 5.8 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 12 |
| 36.64% | 27 | Rush% | 43.36% | 11 |
| 63.36% | 6 | Pass% | 56.64% | 22 |
| 41.54% | 12 | Opp. Rush % | 42.22% | 18 |
| 58.46% | 21 | Opp. Pass % | 57.78% | 15 |
- 40.5% of the Jacksonville drives have reached the red zone or scored prior, sixth in the league.
- Trevor Lawrence is now last in the NFL in EPA per dropback inside of the red zone (-0.48) compared to sixth in EPA per dropback outside of the red zone (0.12).
- Trevor Lawrence is 18-of-41 (43.9%) with nine touchdowns and three interceptions in the red zone. His 60.3 red zone rating is ahead of only Russell Wilson (58.9).
- The Raiders are 28th in EPA allowed per dropback in the red zone (.017), allowing 11 touchdown passes (29th) and a 58.7% completion rate (24th).
- The Jaguars have led for 43.2% of their offensive snaps, ninth in the league and the highest rate for a team with a losing record.
- The Raiders are allowing 36.7 yards per drive, 30th in the league.
- The Raiders are forcing 1.9 sacks plus turnovers per game, the fewest in the league.
- Over the past three weeks, the Jaguars are last in the NFL in scoring rate allowed per drive (48.3%) while the Raiders are 29th (47.1%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence (TRUST): Lawrence has taken a lot of heat given his performance in London, but many quarterbacks have looked bad against the Broncos this season. What is concerning with Lawrence is that his red zone issues extend back into his rookie season with another regime.
The Raiders can do their part in aiding a quick rebound for Lawrence near the end zone as noted above.
Prior to last week’s QB28 scoring week, Lawrence was a QB1 the previous two games against the Colts and Giants, two defenses significantly better than this Raiders unit.
The Raiders have allowed 17 or more fantasy points to every single quarterback they have faced this season, which includes Russell Wilson, Davis Mills, Ryan Tannehill, and most recently, Andy Dalton.
Lawrence is the top 1QB streamer this weekend if he was cut loose in leagues after last weekend.
