The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 16 Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs Saturday afternoon Christmas Eve game.

SeattleRank@Kansas CityRank
9.5Spread-9.5
29.5Implied Total29
25.47Points/Gm29.61
25.429Points All./Gm2319
59.327Plays/Gm66.47
67.130Opp. Plays/Gm63.417
5.95Off. Yards/Play6.51
5.623Def. Yards/Play5.312
38.55%26Rush%37.78%28
61.45%7Pass%62.22%5
48.72%29Opp. Rush %38.22%4
51.28%4Opp. Pass %61.78%29
  • Seattle has failed to cover the spread in five straight games, the longest streak in the league.
  • The Seahawks have 662 fewer rushing yards than their opponent since Week 9 (which includes a bye week), the largest differential in the league.
  • The Chiefs have converted a league-high 48.6% of their third and long plays (needing seven or more yards), League average is 24.5% while the next closest team is at 33.8%.
  • 78.9% (30-of-38) of the touchdowns scored against the Chiefs this season have come via passing, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Chiefs are averaging a play of 20 or more yards once every 13.1 snaps, the best rate in the league.
  • Seattle is averaging a play of 20 or more yards once every 15.1 plays, seventh in the league.
  • The Chiefs are averaging a first down or touchdown every 2.8 plays on offense, the best rate in the league.
  • Seattle has a first down or touchdown once every 3.2 plays, sixth in the league.
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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes (TRUST): Mahomes and his potential MVP campaign marched on this weekend, completing 36-of-41 passes for 336 yards with two touchdowns while adding on 33 yards and a score on the ground. He ended the game completing 20 straight passes, needing to complete his first five passes this Sunday to match the all-time record.

Mahomes has now thrown for over 300 yards in eight of his past nine games as he leads the league in passing yardage per game (321.1) to go along with a league-high 35 passing touchdowns. 

Mahomes will look to stay hot against a Seattle defense allowing 7.3 yards per attempt (21st), a 4.5% touchdown rate (21st), and 0.433 passing points per attempt (20th). Seattle has gotten off the hook a bit facing John Wolford, Sam Darnold, and Brock Purdy the past three weeks (although Purdy had 16.5 fantasy points), all a far cry from the pantheon where Mahomes resides. Prior to that run, Seattle had allowed three top-10 scorers over their four games before that stretch.

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