The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints Sunday afternoon game.
| Seattle | Rank | @ | New Orleans | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Spread | -5.5 | ||
| 20 | Implied Total | 25.5 | ||
| 23.8 | 11 | Points/Gm | 19 | 18 |
| 28.8 | 31 | Points All./Gm | 24 | 20 |
| 57 | 28 | Plays/Gm | 61 | 20 |
| 63.5 | 19 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.5 | 23 |
| 6.3 | 3 | Off. Yards/Play | 6 | 8 |
| 6.7 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 10 |
| 39.04% | 19 | Rush% | 36.07% | 22 |
| 60.96% | 14 | Pass% | 63.93% | 11 |
| 47.64% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 47.33% | 28 |
| 52.36% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 52.67% | 5 |
- Seattle is averaging 42.2 yards per possession, the most in the league.
- 47.1% of the Seattle drives have reached the red zone or scored a touchdown prior, trailing only the Chiefs (47.6%).
- The Seahawks are allowing 3.03 points per drive, the most in the league.
- Opponents have scored on 55.3% of their drives against Seattle, the highest rate in the league.
- Seattle is allowing a league-high 8.2 yards per passing play.
- The Seahawks are first in the league in catchable target rate (81.1%).
- Just 24.1% of the New Orleans receiving yardage has come after the catch, the lowest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Geno Smith: Some are asking if Geno has become Drew Brees reincarnated. Ok, no one is asking that, but Smith has been one of the better stories of the early NFL season.
He currently sits fifth among quarterbacks in EPA per play (.229), first in completion rate (73.1%), first in completion rate over expectation (+12.4%), 10th in yards per pass attempt (7.6 Y/A), and ninth in passing points per attempt (.466).
Smith has been the QB7 and the QB2 in scoring the past two weeks. Those games have come against Atlanta and Detroit, two teams we have circled in pen to target early in the year, but Smith not only was usable in those matchups, but he also delivered front-end performances. Smith also has a QB15 scoring week on his 2022 resume versus Denver, the best fantasy week they have allowed so far. He also faced a strong 49er defense and was the QB30.
Between those two latter matchups is the spectrum where I would place Smith this weekend visiting the Saints.
New Orleans is ninth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.34) with 10.9 passing points allowed per game (seventh). They are allowing 6.5 yards per pass attempt (ninth) and a 2.3% touchdown rate (fifth). Their runout hasn’t been electric versus Marcus Mariota, Tom Brady, Baker Mayfield, and Kirk Cousins, but we inherently know the Saints are fielding a viable defense. At least one better than Atlanta and Detroit.
I would push Smith back to being a 2QB option this week, but Smith has shown that he can be a viable streamer when the time calls, something that is valuable.
