The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 4 Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon game.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Buffalo | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | Spread | -16.5 | ||
| 15.8 | Implied Total | 32.3 | ||
| 22.3 | 19 | Points/Gm | 31.3 | 4 |
| 25.3 | 18 | Points All./Gm | 14.7 | 4 |
| 60.7 | 23 | Plays/Gm | 73.3 | 2 |
| 65 | 21 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 58.3 | 5 |
| 5.2 | 23 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 21 |
| 5.9 | 23 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.3 | 3 |
| 47.25% | 6 | Rush% | 40.00% | 19 |
| 52.75% | 27 | Pass% | 60.00% | 14 |
| 42.56% | 20 | Opp. Rush % | 37.71% | 11 |
| 57.44% | 13 | Opp. Pass % | 62.29% | 22 |
- The Bills have led for 85% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate in the league.
- 22.7% of the offensive plays run by the Bills have come inside of the red zone, the highest rate in the league. League average is 13.8%.
- The Bills are allowing 21.6 yards per possession, second in the NFL behind the Panthers (17.2 yards).
- Just 13.9% of the rushing attempts against the Bills have resulted in a first down, the lowest rate in the league. League average is 24.3%.
- Brandin Cooks leads the NFL in team target share (37.7%) and share of team air yards (58%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Josh Allen: Any questions on Allen’s early-season fantasy struggles were wiped away in Week 3 when he paced the position with 37.2 fantasy points. Allen was locked in like he was a year ago, hitting on 74.4% of his passes for 358 yards and three touchdowns, adding another rushing score. Allen also shredded Washington while under pressure, an issue he had early in the season and dating back to last season. Washington pressured Allen on 47.8% of his dropbacks, but Allen connected on 13-of-20 passes for 189 yards (9.5 Y/A) and all three touchdowns while under pressure.
This week, Allen gets to roll against the Texans, so no trust label is needed here. Houston is allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt (23rd) and 12.1 yards per completion (23rd) to Trevor Lawrence, Baker Mayfield, and Sam Darnold.
