The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon game.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Miami | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5 | Spread | -12.5 | ||
| 17 | Implied Total | 29 | ||
| 15.9 | 30 | Points/Gm | 25.2 | 6 |
| 23 | 18 | Points All./Gm | 24.1 | 22 |
| 58 | 29 | Plays/Gm | 60.8 | 23 |
| 66.6 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.5 | 16 |
| 5 | 27 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 2 |
| 5.8 | 27 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 21 |
| 38.45% | 23 | Rush% | 38.65% | 22 |
| 61.55% | 10 | Pass% | 61.35% | 11 |
| 52.85% | 32 | Opp. Rush % | 40.96% | 10 |
| 47.15% | 1 | Opp. Pass % | 59.04% | 23 |
- Miami leads the NFL with 158 plays of 10 or more yards.
- Houston is 31st in the league in plays of 10 or more yards (95).
- The Dolphins are averaging 6.79 yards per play with Tua Tagovailoa on the field, which would lead the league over the full season.
- Since Tagovailoa returned in Week 7, Miami has scored on 52.6% of their possessions, the highest rate in the league.
- 41.2% of Tagovailoa’s red zone passes have gone for touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
- Houston has led for 10.3% of their offensive snaps, the lowest rate in the league.
- 60.9% (14-of-23) of the touchdowns allowed by Houston have come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
- Miami is fourth in the NFL in EPA against opposing running back carries (+31.5) while the Texans are 30th (-12.9).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa has been a top-12 scorer in each of his four games since returning to the lineup, which includes three straight games as the QB4 in overall scoring or higher. Tagovailoa has thrown nine touchdown passes and zero interceptions over those games.
As amazing as Patrick Mahomes has been, Tua is actually first in passing points per attempt (0.631) to illustrate how hot he is running.
Miami has another lofty team total here to latch onto with Tagovailoa as a QB1 play. The only thing in question is how much gas do the Dolphins need to use here?
The Texans are facing 29.2 pass attempts per game (third fewest) since opposing teams are coasting in the second half of games and running all over them. While Tua and the Dolphins are throwing the ball, Houston is allowing 7.6 yards per pass attempt (29th) and 12.3 yards per completion (30th).
