The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 16 Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Saturday afternoon Christmas Eve game.

HoustonRank@TennesseeRank
7Spread-7
15.5Implied Total22.5
16.830Points/Gm18.226
24.626Points All./Gm20.912
58.629Plays/Gm56.931
67.632Opp. Plays/Gm65.429
4.731Off. Yards/Play5.222
5.826Def. Yards/Play5.618
39.46%21Rush%49.31%5
60.54%12Pass%50.69%28
50.74%31Opp. Rush %34.28%1
49.26%2Opp. Pass %65.72%32
  • The Texans are averaging a league-low 24.5 yards per possession.
  • The Titans are averaging 25.5 yards per possession, 31st in the league.
  • Tennessee has punted on 48.7% of their drives (31st) while Houston has punted on 45.1% (30th).
  • The Titans are averaging 2.28 points per drive in the first half of games (12th) and 0.96 points per drive in the second half (32nd).
  • Tennessee is averaging 3.1 scoring plays per game, the fewest in the league.
  • Houston is averaging 77.3 rushing yards per game than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
  • 27.6% of the rushing attempts against Tennessee have gained five or more yards, the lowest rate in the league.
  • 42.6% of the rushing attempts against Houston have gained five or more yards, 30th in the league.
  • 32.2% of the Houston rushing attempts have gained five or more yards, 31st in the league.
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Quarterback

Davis Mills: Mills only completed 50% of his passes for 5.0 yards per pass attempt on Sunday against the Chiefs, but he managed his highest-scoring fantasy game of the season due to tossing a pair of touchdowns while adding a 17-yard rushing touchdown. 

Mills hit in one of the clear spots we have been targeting all season against the Chiefs. He does have a similar matchup here against a Titans team allowing a league-high 17.9 passing points per game to quarterbacks. Unfortunately, Mills is still stuck as a QB2 option because he saw this matchup already once this season. Back when these teams met in Week 8, Mills was the QB25 (8.9 points), completing 58.6% of his passes for 5.2 Y/A with one touchdown and one interception.

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