The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 Tennessee Titans at Washington Commanders Sunday afternoon game.

TennesseeRank@WashingtonRank
-2.5Spread2.5
22.5Implied Total20
18.821Points/Gm18.325
25.325Points All./Gm26.829
5530Plays/Gm71.84
62.816Opp. Plays/Gm6215
5.219Off. Yards/Play4.632
6.330Def. Yards/Play625
49.09%7Rush%34.15%29
50.91%26Pass%65.85%4
39.04%10Opp. Rush %40.73%14
60.96%23Opp. Pass %59.27%19
  • 90.7% of the points scored by Tennessee have been scored in the first half, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Titans have scored on 12-of-19 drives (63.2%) in the first half this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • Tennessee has scored on just one of their 23 possessions in the second half this season, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Titans have scored a touchdown on 40.0% of their red zone plays, the highest rate in the league.
  • Washington has scored on 21.6% (11-of-51) of their possessions, the lowest rate in the league.
  • Washington has one takeaway on 51 opponent drives (2.0%), the lowest rate in the league.
  • Washington (32.3%) and Tennessee (33.0%) rank first and second in success rate allowed per rushing attempt. 

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Ryan Tannehill: Tannehill is quietly off to a really solid start this season. He currently ranks 11th in EPA per dropback, 11th in completion rate (66.3%), fifth in yards per pass attempt (7.8 Y/A), and 11th in passing points per attempt (.449). 

This is with a limited receiving corps that relied on Derrick Henry to lead the team in targets last week.

Of course, the Titans still have no desire to actually throw the football. Tennessee currently is -4% below pass rate expectation overall on the season while having a -14% rate below expectation on first downs. 

After Tannehill was 12-of-15 for 103 yards and two touchdowns in the first half last weekend, Tennessee turtled and threw six passes in the second half. 

That is the worry with Tannehill as a streamer in 1QB formats, but he runs into a stellar matchup here against a Washington defense allowing 7.9 yards per pass attempt (28th), 13.5 yards per completion (31st), and a league-high 7.3% touchdown rate to opposing passers.

I would not blink if Tannehill ended up as a QB1 this week, but he serves lineups more optimally as a matchup-based QB2.

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