NFL Showdown is not about who you play as much as how you play them.

Median projections are a tool in the toolbox, but they are to be trusted far less than they would be on the main slate. This is because of the large ramifications associated with a single player underproducing or overproducing relative to their projection.

The most likely outcome is only one of infinite outcomes.

When ownership dictates that the field has the game figured out, lean into builds around a different scenario.

The term “any given Sunday” should be the mantra for successfully building Showdown lineups.

Our annual free week has wrapped up, and we hope you didn’t miss out! During this free week promotion (since the start of November) our computer totals went 7-2 (78%), our elevated plays went 13-5 (72%) and overall, we went 31-23 (57%). For the season, a $100 bettor on our standard unit size release is up $3,558. We want everyone to stay on board, so we’re offering an enormous discount for a limited time. Use code TAKE60 to get an astonishing 60% off our NFL+ package now! It’s not too good to be true, but will end soon. Click here to learn more.

Slate Breakdown

The Cincinnati Bengals are heading to Baltimore to take on the Ravens as 3.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 46.

Sitting at just $10,800, Lamar Jackson is the most likely optimal captain, and he is easy to stack with his top two pass catchers as well as one of a long list of tertiary options.

Joe Burrow is also affordable, coming in $1,000 behind Ja’Marr Chase.

With Tee Higgins out and Tyler Boyd‘s price at just $6,800, he looks like the best value on the slate.

Injury Notes

Tee Higgins – Hamstring – Out

Cincinnati Bengals Offense

Tier 1 DFS Showdown Plays:

Ja’Marr Chase $11,000 –

There was concern going into last week that Chase would be on a snap count after his Week 9 back injury. Not only did he play nearly 90% of the snaps, but he managed 124 yards and a touchdown on 5 catches. He appears to have no limitations and is well worth the price tag.

Joe Burrow $10,000 –

Burrow had perhaps his worst quarter of football at the end of Week 10, but he hit the 300-yard-bonus once again. As bad as he struggled to finish last week, he faces a much tougher opponent this week. With all the value on this slate, it’s easy to afford Lamar Jackson or Chase at aptain while comfortably affording Burrow in the flex.


Enter your email to unlock this article and get access to our email newsletter

Dominate Fantasy All Year Long
Rankings, Projections & More