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Week 17 Prediction: Chase Brown More Than 26.5 Receiving Yards
Before a 24-6 win over the Dorian Thompson–Robinson-led Browns and a blowout win over the Titans which saw the Bengals lead 31-14 in the early third quarter and salt away the win, Brown hit 30 or more receiving yards in every game he played without Zack Moss in the lineup this season.
Since Week 9, the Broncos rank #31 against running back passes, allowing 8.7 yards per attempt.
They also rank #24 in success rate allowed to RB passes.
Meanwhile, the Broncos' strength is against tight ends, where they rank #2 in YPA and #3 in success rate.
Additionally, the Broncos just got back Riley Moss, and Brown's teammate Tee Higgins has been limited all week in practice.
If the Bengals see the clear data before their eyes, this sets up for them to target Brown out of the backfield at an above average rate to take advantage of the Broncos' weaknesses.
And in a must-win game which should see some back-and-forth scoring, I expect to see enough opportunity for Brown to clear this mark.
