The Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) meet for the fourth year in a row in Super Bowl LIX. Will the Chiefs pull off the first major three-peat in American sports since the 2000-02 Lakers, or will the Eagles shine on Saquon Barkley's 28th birthday? We look at the key matchups and betting trends for this epic game. Be sure to check out the Super Bowl betting offers after you use the Bet365 bonus code SFA365.
- Spread: Chiefs -1
- Total: O/U 48.5
- Defense Advantage: The Eagles allow a league-low -0.15 EPA per play (postseason included).
- Offensive Mismatch: The Chiefs could use their tight ends and slot receivers against the Philadelphia linebackers in coverage with Nakobe Dean out for the year.
- Bet365 bonus code SFA365: Get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses, or bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets.
- Risk Factors: The Chiefs are 3-1 in Super Bowls under Patrick Mahomes, but they have trailed by double digits in all of them.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Best Wager Prediction
The Chiefs and Eagles know how to play tight games as all three of their meetings have been within one score in the fourth quarter. They each have a fourth-quarter comeback against one another the last two years, but the Chiefs have been on a tear in close games ever since.
Our preview looks at this great chess match on both sides of the ball, and which team has the betting edge to win it all. Make sure you are using the Bet365 bonus code offer to make the most of your Super Bowl LIX wagers.
Chiefs Are Turnover Immune?
Turnovers often decide NFL playoff games, but the 2024 Chiefs may be the outlier of all outliers:
- The 2024 Chiefs have played a record 5 games where neither team turned it over.
- Patrick Mahomes is 9-0 in his last nine starts where the Chiefs have no takeaways on defense (NFL record).
- The Chiefs are 46-3 since 2018 when they win the turnover battle but they're also the only NFL team in that time to have a winning record when they lose or are neutral in the turnover battle.
- The Chiefs have never gone four straight games without a takeaway, but they have done so in three straight games going into Sunday.
- No team has ever won the Super Bowl without forcing at least 3 turnovers in the postseason.
- The Eagles are +10 in turnover margin this postseason with no giveaways in their last five games too.
- Reminder: Turnovers tend to regress to the mean on both sides of the ball.
Chiefs Are Tough to Deny
The Chiefs are one win away from the Super Bowl three-peat, the kind of achievement you can only do if you're really good at winning games in all fashions:
- The Chiefs have won 17 straight one-score games (NFL record).
- Mahomes is the only quarterback to win over 60% of his game-winning drive opportunities (min. 40 games).
- Mahomes is 16-0 in games played indoors in the NFL.
- The Chiefs are 25-2 with Mahomes when a team blitzes more than 12 times in a game.
- Mahomes is 8-0 against Vic Fangio, the defensive coordinator for the Eagles.
- The Chiefs are 17-3 in the playoffs in the Mahomes era, the best record for any 20-game span in postseason history.
Betting Edge: Kansas City
The Chiefs have the edges at quarterback and their coaching staff, and that could be enough in this game:
- Kansas City is the only 2024 team that can say its starters never trailed by more than 11 points this year.
- The Chiefs have not allowed a 90-yard rusher in 18 playoff games with defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo.
- The Chiefs are 13-0 in close games this season while the Eagles have blown a pair of fourth-quarter leads.
- The Chiefs are 6-0 in playoff games with a spread of 0-to-2 points in the Mahomes era.
Exclusive Chiefs vs. Eagles Betting Offer with the Bet365 Bonus Code: SFA365
New users should know they can make their Super Bowl Sunday experience better with a Super Bowl offer from Bet365. You just need to use the Bet365 bonus code SFA365 to get up to $1,000 in bonus bets on your first wager if it loses, or you can get $150 in bonus bets after a $5 sports wager.
$1,000 First Bet Safety Net
- Minimum deposit: $10
- Bet $10 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with minimum odds of -500 or greater
- Can bet on player props (Xavier Worthy over in receiving yards) or game props like the Eagles winning the first-half spread
- If your bet loses, you will get back 100% of your wager up to $1,000 in bonus bets
- Bonus bets will be removed from your account if they are not used within 7 days of receiving them
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
- Minimum deposit: $10
- Bet $5 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with minimum odds of -500 or greater
- Can bet on player props (Xavier Worthy over in receptions) or game props like Eagles under 24.5 team points
- After your bet is settled, win or lose, you will receive $150 in bonus bets and 50 casino bonus spins in select states.
- Bonus bets will be removed from your account if they are not used within 7 days of receiving them
How to Claim the Bonuses Before Kickoff
- Go to the mobile site or download the Bet365 mobile app from the app store
- Create a new user account using Bet365 bonus code “SFA365”
- Deposit a minimum $10 in your account
- Depending on your bet365 Super Bowl promo, place a minimum $5 or $10 bet on any of the markets we discussed in our Chiefs vs. Eagles preview:
- Try a Same Game Parlay with player props and the under
- Bet on Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts to both score touchdowns
- Trust the Chiefs' moneyline pick again
- (For Safety Net) If your bet loses, you will get back your wager in the form of bonus bets to use on other sports markets.
- (For $5 Bet) You will receive $150 in bonus bets regardless of your bet outcome.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Bet365 Super Bowl Promo
Super Bowls provide more betting markets than any other game in the sports year. Bet365 features a whole slew of specials for Super Bowl LIX, including some Taylor Swift-themed betting titles. You can consider using your bet365 bonus code promo to place a wager on one of these specials.
For instance, the Chiefs converting a fourth down at -180 odds should be an easy hit in a game like this where the Eagles can put a lot of pressure on the Chiefs to sustain possession and score touchdowns. The +6600 odds for Saquon Barkley scoring four touchdowns seems very unlikely against a Kansas City defense that has let one opponent in the last two years score 30 points on them (Buffalo). But you can always check out the Bet365 Super Bowl promo specials and more at Bet365.
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