Dolphins vs. Jets Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 4

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 4 matchup between the Dolphins and Jets on Monday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 4 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Justin Fields (TRUST): The Jets are entering the week with Fields still in concussion protocol.

With the game on Monday night, we expect Fields to clear, but we will monitor his status just in case he is held out longer and adjust accordingly if we get another week of Tyrod Taylor.

Aaron Glenn did say that if Fields is cleared, he will be the starter.

A week after the Jets' offense provided cause for excitement in Week 1, they immediately crashed back to Earth.

Before his exit in Week 2, Fields was 3 of 11 passing for only 27 yards.

He still managed to run for 49 yards, but we have two of the most polarizing outcomes for a player with a history of running hot and cold.

After posting the highest EPA per play of his career in a start in Week 1 (0.49), Fields had his lowest EPA per play in Week 2 (-0.74).

We should see the roller coaster ride head back up this Monday.

Miami has been an early-season target for us.

They are 31st in passing points allowed per attempt (0.658), which would be the QB2 on the season.

They have allowed a league-high 78.8% completion rate, 8.9 yards per pass attempt (30th), and 7.5% touchdown rate (28th) to quarterbacks.

Miami has the highest blitz rate in the NFL (43.2%) but the lowest pressure rate on blitzes (26.8%).

On those failed blitzes without pressure, passers are 23 of 30 (76.7%) for 244 yards (8.1 Y/A) with 2 touchdowns.

As a cherry for Fields, Miami has allowed a league-high 8.7 rushing points per game to quarterbacks.

Miami has allowed a top-five scorer in all three weeks to Daniel Jones (29.5 points), Drake Maye (26.3 points), and Josh Allen (23 points).

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa has yet to close out a week in the top half of weekly scoring, finishing as QB31, QB17, and QB19 to open the season.

He is coming off a game where he threw for 4.3 yards per attempt last Thursday night in Buffalo, a matchup that has plagued him.

Tagovailoa threw a pair of touchdowns on Thursday but managed only 146 passing yards.

He has thrown an interception in all three games (four in total).

While Miami is 0-3, they have shown fight in the past two weeks and have performed better than the dumpster fire we saw in Week 1.

Although last week was not an optimal run for fantasy points, there is now a functional level of confidence in this offense, and we have a good matchup here.

I am not quite ready to push Tagovailoa as a 1QB starter in a strong quarterback week, but he is a matchup-based QB2 with upside in this matchup.

The Jets have not been as bad as Miami defensively, but they are pretty close to it.

The Jets are 29th in pressure rate (26.3%).

They have allowed 7.2 Y/A (22nd) and a 5.8% touchdown rate (25th).

They are 26th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.538).

We have seen them allow top-10 weeks to Aaron Rodgers (25.7 points) and Baker Mayfield (17.7 points), with a blowout loss saving them from Josh Allen having to do anything against them in Week 2.

Running Back

De’Von Achane: Achane rushed 12 times for 62 yards on Thursday night, catching 7 of 9 targets for 29 yards.

We did see Achane shed some work to Ollie Gordon in Week 3.

Achane handled a season-low 67.9% of the backfield touches.

That could have been due to playing on a short week early in the season, but Gordon was effective on his touches, rushing 9 times for 38 yards and a touchdown.

We still have an early-season sample, but Gordon has out touched Achane 3 to 1 inside of the 10-yard line and has the only rushing attempts inside of the five-yard line.

We need a larger sample, but Gordon could be the goal-line back here.

That would cap some for Achane’s upside, especially in non-PPR formats.

Achane’s rushing efficiency has been better this season, but he has only had 7, 11, and 12 rushes through three games.

He has made his way into RB1 territory through his receiving work.

Achane has 24% of the team’s targets, which is second only to Christian McCaffrey (29.1%) among running backs.

Achane takes a minor hit in non-PPR formats and is elevated in full-PPR settings, but is a locked-in starter with more upside if the goal line rushing work is fluid.

The Jets are 23rd in rushing points allowed per game to backfields (13.8) and 17th in receiving points per game (7.8).

Breece Hall: After rushing 19 times for 107 yards in Week 1, Hall has rushed 19 times for 50 yards over the past two games.

After 145 total yards in Week 1, Hall has had games of 38 and 52 yards.

Last week saw more of a backfield split.

After handling 72.4% and 80% of the backfield touches to open the year, Hall handled 61.9% on Sunday.

Braelon Allen had 8 touches for 47 yards.

Allen has out touched Hall 3 to 1 inside the 10-yard line on the season.

Hall was looking like an early-season value, but the bottom has quickly fallen these past two weeks.

The Jets were miserable in Week 2, and they played a backup quarterback this past week as a potential excuse, but Hall looks to be a boom-or-bust RB2.

Miami does offer a path to the “boom” side of that outcome.

The Dolphins have allowed 4.5 YPC to running backs (21st) with a 56.9% success rate against those runs (25th).

They are also 25th in receiving points allowed to backfields (10.5 per game).

Wide Receiver

Garrett Wilson (TRUST): Wilson rebounded last week, collecting 10 of 13 targets for 84 yards and his second touchdown of the season.

Through three weeks, Wilson has 39% of the team’s targets (WR2) and 49.9% of the air yards (WR8).

There is volatility here due to quarterback play, but this is a matchup to attack through the receiving game.

Miami is 29th in receiving points allowed per target to wide receivers, allowing a league-high 76.9% catch rate, 8.6 yards per target (20th), and a 10.3% touchdown rate (30th) to the position.

Tyreek Hill: Hill pulled in 5 of 10 targets for 49 yards and a touchdown on Thursday night.

We may not get Hill back to WR1 status, but he has delivered back-to-back top-20 scoring weeks and is an upside WR2.

He has 52.9% of the team’s air yards (WR4).

His 25.8% target rate per route is not as high as 2022 (32%) or 2023 (36.6%), but it is up a tick from a year ago (23%) while his early-season yards per route (2.22) are up from last year as well (1.79).

It will be interesting to see how the Jets approach this game defensively.

They opened the year playing man coverage on 38.9% of snaps in Week 1 (5th) and 35.2% in Week 2 (6th), but scaled way down to a 14.1% man coverage rate in Week 3 (23rd).

They were using Sauce Gardner to shadow opposing WR1 targets, but they were getting tormented in other spots, putting their limited cornerback depth in bad positions.

The Dolphins typically have very few man coverage reps, facing man coverage on 11.8% of their dropbacks (4th-fewest).

When they do, Hill has been targeted on 37.5% of his routes compared to a 22.5% rate against zone coverage.

Jaylen Waddle: Waddle has yet to top 6 targets in a game this season, but he has found the end zone in back-to-back weeks.

Like Hill, Waddle has not regained his 2022 and 2023 efficiency, but all of his metrics are up from the previous year.

This is a good spot for him to have a season-high in targets and clear the levels he has been at so far this season.

Secondary targets have given the Jets issues to open the year.

Calvin Austin (4-70-1), Emeka Egbuka (6-85-0), and Sterling Shepard (4-80-0) have all had solid games against the Jets.

If the Jets do move Gardner more towards Hill, Waddle will get more of Brandon Stephens and Michael Carter, who rank 79th and 98th in coverage grades per Pro Football Focus.

In a matchup that is beneficial to both passing games, keep Waddle in play as a matchup-based WR3.

Jets WRs: Allen Lazard caught a touchdown last week, but he only ran 12 pass routes on Sunday.

Arian Smith was the WR2 (2 catches for 2 yards), running a route on 84.8% of the dropbacks, followed by Tyler Johnson (2 catches for 32 yards) at 73.9%.

Even in single-game DFS, these are touchdown-dependent options.

Tight End

Darren Waller: Waller is set to make his Miami debut this Monday.

He has not played a complete season since 2020, further impacting the setting of his initial expectations upon returning to the field.

When we last saw Waller with the Giants in 2023, he was targeted on 20.8% of his routes, which ranked him as TE12 for the season.

He posted 1.55 yards per route run, which was TE13.

He commanded 27.2% of the team’s targets when he was on the field that season, which led the position.

We can look at Jonnu Smith’s target spike last season as a potential plus for Waller, but Waller is an entirely different player from Smith.

Waller is more of a FLEX Y and power slot receiver who wins in the intermediate area and down the seams of the defense, as opposed to Smith, who earns a ton of targets near the line of scrimmage and wins with yards created after the reception.

Tight end is so thin that Waller is a speculative add for needy rosters.

In his first game with the team, expectations are in check.

He would only be a single-game DFS dart throw.

Mason Taylor: Taylor only has 6 receptions for 43 yards through three games, but he has been out there, running a route on 74.3% of the dropbacks.

He is not a starter outside of single-game DFS, but if there were a spot to get him more involved, this would be a good one.

Opposing teams have targeted their tight ends 29.1% of the time against Miami (second highest).

On those targets, they have allowed 9.3 yards per target (26th) and an 8.7% touchdown rate (27th).

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