The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Eagles and Bears on Black Friday.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

ChicagoRank@PhiladelphiaRank
7.0 Spread-7.0
18.75 Implied Total25.75
26.38Points/Gm23.217
26.527Points All./Gm20.58
64.56Plays/Gm58.624
59.69Opp. Plays/Gm63.224
5.78Off. Yards/Play5.220
6.130Def. Yards/Play5.418
46.06%10Rush%48.06%3
53.94%23Pass%51.94%30
44.66%20Opp. Rush %42.59%16
55.34%13Opp. Pass %57.41%17

  • Chicago games average 52.8 combined points, 3rd highest in the league.
  • The Bears are 30th in defensive success rate (53.8%), ahead of the Cowboys (52.9%) and Bengals (52.3%).
  • Chicago allows a league-high 2.76 points per drive on the road.
  • The Bears have a league-best 6-1 record (.857) in one-score games.
  • Since their Week 5 bye, the Bears are 8th in the NFL in offensive EPA (31.4).
  • Over that span, the Bears lead the league in the rate of plays that gain 10 or more yards (24%).
  • The Bears lead the league in turnover differential (+16).
  • The Eagles have allowed a league-low 14 points off turnovers.
  • The Eagles have turned the ball over on a league-low 4.3% of their possessions.
  • The Bears have turned the ball over on 6.5% of their possessions, 3rd in the league.
  • 28.9% of Philadelphia's sets of downs reach third and long (needing 7-plus yards), 31st in the league.
  • The Eagles are 27th in third-down conversion rate (34.6%).
  • Philadelphia is the final remaining team that has converted 100% of their goal-to-go trips (15) into touchdowns.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Jalen Hurts: Just when you thought this Philadelphia offense could not get any more disjointed, we had Hurts score a season-high 30.9 fantasy points on Sunday, but he still had an incomplete game.

Hurts set season highs in completions (27) and attempts (39), throwing for 289 yards and a touchdown while adding 33 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground.

Despite all that, this offense still did not put together a complete game.

Hurts scored 23.7 fantasy points in the first half.

After scoring a touchdown on their opening three drives of the game, the Eagles did not score again and gained only 106 total yards on their final seven actual possessions of the game.

That has been the story of the 2025 Eagles.

They have flashes where the talent shines and comes together, but then it is fleeting, and rarely has it lasted four quarters.

Hurts has thrown the ball between the numbers on 34.9% of his passes, ahead of only Michael Penix (33.9%).

The good news is that Hurts keeps scoring fantasy points more often than not.

He is the QB4 in fantasy points per game (21.0).

He has six weeks as QB8 or higher and only two weeks below QB13 on the year.

He is a high-floor QB1 with overall QB1 upside here.

The Eagles are at home with a solid team total.

They are facing a Chicago defense allowing 15.1 passing points per game (24th).

The Bears have allowed a 68.5% completion rate (28th), 7.6 yards per pass attempt (27th), and a 6.5% touchdown rate (30th).

They are also 26th in rushing points allowed per game (4.0) to quarterbacks.

Chicago is 30th in pressure rate (29.8%).

The Bears could be getting Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon back this week to help out on the back end.

Both practiced last week but were ultimately held out.

If they are back on the field, that may push Chicago to play more man coverage, and they are already above the league rate.

The Bears have played man coverage on 30.6% of their defensive snaps, seventh in the league.

It may not matter much here because the Bears have been so rough defensively, but we always highlight that Hurts has been much better against man coverage this season.

Against man coverage, he has completed 59.5% of his passes (12th) for 8.3 Y/A (3rd) with a 16.2% touchdown rate (2nd).

Against zone coverage, Hurts has completed 69.9% of his passes (18th) for 7.1 Y/A (22nd) and a 2.2% touchdown rate (17th).

Caleb Williams: Williams remains a Rorschach Test.

He only completed 54.3% of his passes on Sunday, which was 11% below expectations.

No passer has completed fewer passes versus expectations this season (-7.5%) or has a higher inaccurate pass rate (15.6%).

Williams has completed better than 60% of his passes in one of his past eight games.

But he threw 3 touchdown passes and added 21 rushing yards, which propelled him to a QB6 (21.7 points) scoring week, his third top-six scoring week over the past four weeks.

While Williams has been erratic with his accuracy, he has protected the football and has a sprinkle of rushing output.

Williams has a 1.1% interception rate (7th) and a 4.5% sack rate (7th) while averaging 4.3 rushing points per game (QB9).

Those components will be vital in keeping him above water here as a QB2.

The Bears are on the road with a team total below 20 points, which is always a red flag.

We have not seen Williams punch up this season.

If he can hit here, it will give gamers some confidence using him as a 1QB starter heading into a more demanding schedule to close the season.

He has not faced an opponent in the top 10 of passing points allowed per attempt yet and has only faced one defense in the top half of the league in that department.

That was the Ravens.

In that game, he was the QB18 (11.8 points).

The Eagles are sixth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.360), allowing a league-low 57.5% completion rate (a rough combination for where Williams has had his most significant issues), 6.9 Y/A (11th), and a 2.9% touchdown rate (third).

Running Back

Saquon Barkley: Barkley found no room to run on Sunday, rushing 10 times for 22 yards.

Even more of a statement about the state of this running game was that the Eagles completely abandoned the run after leading 21-0 after three possessions.

Philadelphia had a 74.1% dropback rate on Sunday, their second-highest rate of the season.

They threw the ball 11% over expectations and 17% over expectations on first down.

This running game is just struggling.

The offensive line has not played well, and they are down Lane Johnson.

Barkley now has 61 rushes this season with Johnson off the field.

On those runs, he has averaged 2.7 yards per rush with a 31.1% success rate and a run of 10 or more yards on 3.3%.

Barkley did make up some ground as a pass catcher on Sunday.

He caught 7 of 8 targets for 52 yards.

That still was not good enough to push him into RB1 territory, however.

Barkley only has four RB1 scoring weeks this season, all of which came with touchdowns.

Barkley is basically what gamers are getting from Ashton Jeanty, which is absurd given the talent level of this offense compared to the Raiders.

Barkley has 80.6% of his backfield touches, so the workload is still strong.

I would still consider Barkley, on the surface, a volume-based RB2, but the positive spin is that the Eagles are home favorites with a good team total.

These are the spots we are supposed to chase with a high workload running back objectively.

The Bears have been in the middle of the league against the run since their Week 5 bye.

Over that span, they are allowing 4.4 YPC (20th) to running backs with 89.6 rushing yards per game (15th).

They have not allowed a 100-yard rusher over that span, but have permitted RB1 scoring weeks to Derrick Henry, Chase Bown, and Kenneth Gainwell over that stretch.

The latter did their damage through the air, an area where Barkley can still contribute.

Chicago RBs: D’Andre Swift lost a fumble last week and, in turn, conceded more work to Kyle Monangai.

Swift ended Sunday with 9 touches for 29 yards.

He played a season-low 44.6% of the offensive snaps.

Monangai handled 12 touches for 48 yards and a touchdown, his third game in a row with a score.

Swift has been the RB31 and RB53 these past two weeks.

Monangai has scored in three straight games, but he has 28, 37, and 48 yards in those games with 1 reception.

If you do not get a score, there is no floor here.

With this backfield being messy, and the Bears being road underdogs, both of these backs are touchdown-dependent FLEX options.

Over their past five games, the Eagles have allowed 3.8 YPC to running backs (7th) and 73.0 rushing yards per game (8th).

With Jalen Carter on the field this season, the Eagles have allowed 3.8 YPC to running backs.

Wide Receiver

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More Week 13 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:

MatchupTime
Packers @ LionsThanksgiving
Chiefs @ CowboysThanksgiving
Bengals @ RavensThanksgiving
Bears @ EaglesBlack Friday
49ers @ BrownsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Jaguars @ TitansSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Texans @ ColtsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Saints @ DolphinsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Falcons @ JetsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Cardinals @ BucsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Rams @ PanthersSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Vikings @ SeahawksSunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET
Bills @ SteelersSunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET
Raiders @ ChargersSunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET
Broncos @ CommandersSunday Night Football
Giants @ PatriotsMonday Night Football