The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Texans and Raiders.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | Houston | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | Spread | -14.5 | ||
| 11.75 | Implied Total | 26.25 | ||
| 14.0 | 32 | Points/Gm | 23.1 | 17 |
| 25.9 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 16.3 | 1 |
| 55.7 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 64.4 | 8 |
| 63.3 | 26 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 57.8 | 5 |
| 4.4 | 30 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 24 |
| 5.2 | 13 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 3 |
| 37.18% | 29 | Rush% | 42.51% | 22 |
| 62.82% | 4 | Pass% | 57.49% | 11 |
| 48.65% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 39.93% | 6 |
| 51.35% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 60.07% | 27 |
- The Raiders are 0-8 with an NFL-worst -121 point differential over their past eight games.
- The Raiders have a league-worst -23 sack differential over their past seven games. The next closest team over that period is at -10.
- The Raiders are last in the NFL in EPA as a rushing offense (-70.4).
- The Raiders have not had a run of 20 or yards over their past 10 games, the only team in the NFL.
- The Texans have a league-best +13 turnover margin over their past nine games.
- Houston has turned the ball over on 5.8% of their possessions, 2nd in the league. The league average is 10.6%.
- The Raiders are averaging a league-low 0.96 points per drive on the road.
- The Texans are allowing 1.42 points per drive, 2nd in the league.
- The Raiders have scored 76 fewer points than their implied totals this season, the worst margin in the league.
- Houston has allowed 55.5 fewer points than their opponents' implied totals, the best margin in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
C.J. Stroud: Stroud delivered in a strong matchup at home on Sunday against Arizona, finishing the week as the QB8 (23.4 points).
Stroud matched a season-high with 9.0 yards per pass attempt, completing 22 of 29 passes (75.9%) for 260 yards and 3 touchdowns.
All of Stroud’s spike weeks have been in favorable spots coming in, which he has again here.
There is some minor concern that the Raiders will not provide any pushback like Arizona did a week ago to keep the game momentum going, but Stroud is a matchup-based option on the QB1/QB2 line here.
Houston is at home with another solid team total, while the Raiders have dropped off as the season winds down.
Over the past five weeks, the Raiders have allowed a league-high 75.4% completion rate, 8.1 yards per pass attempt (27th), and a 7.7% touchdown rate (31st).
Raiders QB: Early expectations are that Geno Smith will be back this week after missing last week’s game with a rib injury, but Pete Carroll stopped short of confirming it on Monday.
We will follow practice on Wednesday to see if Smith is back, but regardless of whether we get Smith or Kenny Pickett here, that Las Vegas QB is only an option for desperate gamers filling a spot in 2QB formats.
The Raiders have the lowest team total of the week on the road against a Houston defense allowing a 58.2% completion rate (2nd), 6.2 yards per pass attempt (2nd), and a 3.4% touchdown rate (4th).
Running Back
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More Week 16 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Rams @ Seahawks | Thursday Night Football |
| Eagles @ Commanders | Saturday -- 5 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Bears | Saturday -- 8:20 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Lions | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Texans | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Ravens | Sunday Night Football |
| 49ers @ Colts | Monday Night Football |
