The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 16 Las Vegas Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers Saturday night Christmas Eve game.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | Pittsburgh | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 18.5 | Implied Total | 21 | ||
| 24.1 | 10 | Points/Gm | 17.9 | 27 |
| 24.1 | 23 | Points All./Gm | 22.1 | 13 |
| 61.7 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 64.7 | 12 |
| 63.8 | 20 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.7 | 9 |
| 5.8 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 28 |
| 5.7 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 21 |
| 40.74% | 19 | Rush% | 43.60% | 14 |
| 59.26% | 14 | Pass% | 56.40% | 19 |
| 42.33% | 13 | Opp. Rush % | 43.17% | 18 |
| 57.67% | 20 | Opp. Pass % | 56.83% | 15 |
- The Steelers are 6-0 when they score first and 0-8 when the opponent scores first.
- The Steelers have 35 drives this season of 10 or more plays, tied with the Chiefs for the most in the league.
- Since their Week 9 bye, the Steelers have converted 54.8% of their third downs, second in the league.
- The Steelers are averaging 144.3 rushing yards per game over their past seven games after rushing for 87.9 yards per game prior.
- 60.9% (14-of-23) of the Pittsburgh touchdowns have come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
- 78.1% (25-of-32) of the touchdowns allowed by the Steelers have come via passing, the second-highest rate in the league.
- The average length of touchdown for the Raiders is 21.7 yards, second in the NFL.
- The average length of touchdown for the Steelers is 5.7 yards, the lowest in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Derek Carr: Carr completed just 52.6% of his passes Sunday for 6.1 yards per pass attempt, but he was able to get home fantasy still as the QB10 (19.2 points) by throwing three touchdowns. Carr has now completed 55% of his passes or fewer in each of the past three games, but he has thrown multiple touchdown passes in six of his past seven games.
The Steelers have allowed just one QB1 scoring week since their Week 9 bye, but they have faced Andy Dalton, Matt Ryan, Marcus Mariota, Tyler Huntley, and Sam Darnold outside of allowing 9.1 Y/A and four touchdowns to Joe Burrow. Even with this light stretch on the schedule, the Steelers have allowed a 5.2% touchdown rate to opposing passers, 30th in the league.
Carr is not in Burrow’s weight class, but he is a tier or two above all of those other passers. Carr threw for 382 yards and two touchdowns in Pittsburgh last season, but that was also early in the season with no weather concerns.
Pittsburgh is another spot this weekend looking at freezing temperatures and potential wind. A lot of that is cooked into the implied line here for the Raiders. We will follow the reports up until game time because Carr is right on the QB1 line with added upside should things check out with minimal wind.
