The AFC East is heating up heading into the 2026 NFL season.
Our comprehensive odds analysis breaks down each team's chances to win the division, compares betting lines across major sportsbooks, and identifies the smartest wagers for bettors preparing for next year.
Last Updated: March 22
AFC East Prediction: 2026 Winner
The Bills (-150) are predicted to win the AFC East for the 2026 NFL season with an implied probability of 60.0%.
2026 AFC East Division Winner Odds
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -150 | -145 | -155 |
| Patriots | +155 | +145 | +150 |
| Jets | +1800 | +2000 | +2500 |
| Dolphins | +2800 | +3000 | +2800 |
Explore More 2026 NFL Betting Odds
AFC East Best Bet for 2026
Best Favorite Bet to win the AFC East: Buffalo Bills (-150)
The increased difficulty of the Patriots' schedule is massive. Buffalo was favored by 2.5 points IN New England Week 15 and won the game while covering the spread. It remains to be seen if new DC Jim Leonhard will get more out of the defense than Sean McDermott, but as long as Josh Allen is at quarterback, it’s hard to dislike the Bills whenever their odds are this short to win their division.
Best Sleeper Bet to win the AFC East: Miami Dolphins (+2800)
The Dolphins are priced as if they have zero chance in the AFC East. After recording a winning record every year from 2020 to 2023, they went 8-9 in 2024 and 7-10 last year with Quinn Ewers starting the final three games of the year. New HC Jeff Hafley could give the Dolphins defense a much higher floor in 2026, and their schedule will be more manageable than the Bills or Patriots.
Historical AFC East Trends
- The Bills had won five straight division titles before the 2025 season
- The Patriots have won 18 division titles since the 2000 season
- The Bills or the Patriots have won the AFC East in 23 of the last 25 seasons
