There are two players worth examining for the Week 18 regular season finale: Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow and Seattle Seahawks kicker Jason Myers.
Both have shown interesting trends in their recent performances that could provide value for prop bettors looking to capitalize on season-ending matchups.
Week 18 Prediction: Joe Burrow Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+120)
Joe Burrow has been nothing short of phenomenal in recent weeks. The Bengals are riding a wave of momentum, having strung together four consecutive victories.
During this impressive run, Burrow has been the linchpin of Cincinnati's offense, accounting for a staggering 12 passing touchdowns.
This aerial dominance is further underscored by the team's mere two rushing scores in the same span, highlighting Burrow's pivotal role in the Bengals' scoring prowess.
The consistency of Burrow's performance is truly remarkable.
He's not just meeting expectations; he's shattering them, having thrown for 3 or more touchdowns in eight straight games.
This streak speaks volumes about his ability to deliver under pressure and his synergy with his receiving corps.
The Steelers defense presents an inviting target for Burrow's passing acumen.
Pittsburgh has shown alarming vulnerability at home, allowing the fourth-highest passing touchdown rate in their own stadium – 71% compared to 50% on the road.
Their recent three-game losing skid has seen them concede 8 passing touchdowns, with elite quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson each notching 3 scores against them.
The stakes couldn't be higher for Cincinnati. With their playoff hopes hanging in the balance, this is a must-win situation.
This pressure is likely to fuel an aggressive offensive strategy, with Burrow at the helm, ready to exploit every opportunity to find the end zone.
Burrow's arsenal is formidable, featuring the dynamic duo of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
These talented receivers provide Burrow with reliable, big-play targets, enhancing his chances of surpassing the 2.5 touchdown mark.
With Burrow's hot streak, Pittsburgh's defensive lapses, the high-stakes nature of the game, and Cincinnati's wealth of receiving talent, Burrow throwing over 2.5 touchdowns at +120 odds not only aligns with recent trends but also offers an attractive risk-reward ratio.
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Week 18 Prediction: Under 2.5 Total Extra Points Made
To kick extra points, you need touchdowns.
The Rams have been a defensive juggernaut in recent weeks, holding three consecutive opponents to single-digit scoring.
During their impressive five-game win streak, they surrendered just 9 total touchdowns with 6 of those coming in a wild 44-42 shootout against the Bills.
This defensive prowess sets a formidable stage for the Seahawks' struggling offense.
Seattle's offensive woes start in the trenches. Their offensive line has been a turnstile, allowing 52 sacks.
This poor protection has cascaded into other areas of Seattle's offense. Their ground game has been anemic, while the passing attack hasn't fared much better, with Geno Smith throwing 17 interceptions.
Expect stalled drives and missed opportunities, painting a grim picture for Seattle's scoring potential.
Bet on the Rams' defensive dominance and the Seahawks' offensive ineptitude converging in a perfect storm of punt-heavy, field-goal-friendly football.