The NFL Divisional Round is here, and with it comes an exciting slate of games offering intriguing betting opportunities.

From the Ravens’ trip to Buffalo to face a Bills team firing on all cylinders, the Chiefs hosting the Texans in a matchup that could highlight Kansas City’s late-season dominance, and the Commanders heading to Detroit in what promises to be an offensive shootout, there’s no shortage of angles to explore.

Let’s dive into these matchups and uncover where the value lies in this high-stakes playoff weekend.

Click here for Pam's best prop bets for the Divisional Round

Divisional Round Prediction: Ravens at Bills Under 51.5

Both teams excel at limiting explosive plays and suffocating opposing offenses, with defensive strengths that mirror each other’s style.

Baltimore's defense is a juggernaut, boasting the NFL’s second-most sacks (54) and a relentless pass rush led by Kyle Van Noy (12.5 sacks) and Odafe Oweh (11 sacks). Their ability to confuse offensive lines with stunts and simulated pressures makes life miserable for quarterbacks.

The Ravens' secondary is equally formidable, with Marlon Humphrey (six interceptions) and rookie Nate Wiggins (47.8% completion rate allowed) locking down receivers while Kyle Hamilton patrols deep and eliminates big-play threats, allowing only one 30+ air-yard completion all season.

Throw in a league-best run defense, and you have a unit designed to stymie Josh Allen, who has historically struggled against Baltimore, completing just 49% of passes with 2 touchdowns and an interception in prior meetings.

The Bills, meanwhile, have transformed their defense since a Week 4 loss to the Ravens.

Key returns from Matt Milano and Terrel Bernard have fortified their run defense, holding opponents under 153 rushing yards in every game since.

Bernard’s 104 tackles, including 60 run stops, showcase Buffalo's renewed physicality and discipline.

Their secondary, anchored by savvy veterans, has steadily improved, focusing on limiting yards after the catch and preventing big plays, crucial against Baltimore’s dynamic offense.

This game pits strength against strength, with both defenses uniquely equipped to neutralize the other’s offensive weapons.

Baltimore’s relentless pressure will challenge Allen’s decision-making while Buffalo’s disciplined tackling and versatile schemes aim to contain Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat capabilities.

Trends also lean toward the under.

The Ravens have allowed just 15.4 points per game since Week 10, and the Bills’ defensive resurgence has led to lower-scoring matchups.

Factor in Buffalo’s January chill, and scoring opportunities may be few and far between.

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Divisional Round Prediction: Chiefs -8 vs. Texans & Texans Under 16.5 points

This play is as solid as Kansas City’s unyielding dominance at Arrowhead.

The Chiefs have been rock stars down the stretch with their defense ascending to elite status since Week 10, leading the NFL in opponent dropback EPA.

Anchored by Chris Jones and Tershawn Wharton, the pass rush has been relentless and is primed to feast on Houston’s struggling offensive line, which has surrendered 52 sacks and ranks 19th in pass-blocking efficiency.

Offensively, Patrick Mahomes continues to be the NFL’s ultimate problem-solver, thriving under pressure with quick releases, pinpoint accuracy, and mobility that keeps defenses scrambling. His track record against top defenses is impeccable — 6-1 against No. 1 scoring defenses while averaging 31 points per game.

With Travis Kelce as his safety net, Xavier Worthy stretching the field, and Hollywood Brown healthy, Mahomes has the weapons to dismantle even the most disciplined units.

Add in Isiah Pacheco returning healthy, and the offense is clicking at just the right time.

The Texans, on the other hand, face an uphill battle.

Hindered by the loss of Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell, their offense has been in a tailspin, ranking 27th in EPA since Week 9.

C.J. Stroud’s sophomore regression and their woeful red zone efficiency — scoring touchdowns on just 49.12% of trips, good for 26th in the league — paint a bleak picture.

Turnovers have also been a recurring issue, as highlighted in their Wild Card performance against the Chargers, and Kansas City’s opportunistic defense is well-positioned to capitalize.

The Chiefs' perfect 8-0 home record underscores their dominance, and with the Texans' offensive struggles, this game has blowout potential.

A bet on the Texans under 16.5 points is a sharp angle, as their inability to generate consistent offense makes it hard to see them keeping up.

Expect Kansas City to control the game from start to finish, delivering a convincing win.

Divisional Round Prediction: Commanders +9 at Lions

I faded Jayden Daniels last week, and that was a mistake.

This matchup presents a bet with plenty of upside, fueled by Washington’s offensive firepower, defensive strengths, and the remarkable play of rookie quarterback Daniels. He has been sensational, setting rookie records while throwing for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and just 9 interceptions.

Daniels’ dual-threat ability, highlighted by 891 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns, adds an edge that few defenses have been able to contain. His speed and change-of-direction skills make him a nightmare for defenders, and unlike typical scrambling quarterbacks, Daniels excels at extending plays within the pocket with nimble footwork and a sharp sense of pressure.

Coming off a playoff debut in which he led Washington to a win over Tampa Bay, Daniels has proven he belongs in the conversation among the league’s best quarterbacks. His composure under pressure, combined with Washington’s knack for late-game scoring, makes the Commanders a dangerous underdog.

The Lions defense has vulnerabilities that Washington can exploit. 30th in passing yards allowed per game and with a history of struggles in single coverage, Detroit's defense opens the door for Commanders receivers Terry McLaurin and Dyami Brown to shine.

McLaurin is on pace for a career year thanks to the stability and synergy he has developed with Daniels, capitalizing on well-timed throws and extended opportunities downfield.

Backing the Commanders in this matchup isn’t about shutting down Detroit’s potent offense. It’s about keeping pace and matching their scoring output.

Washington’s offense is built for a shootout, capable of sustaining long drives, converting crucial downs, and maintaining a fast-paced tempo.

Head coach Dan Quinn and offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury have embraced an aggressive, high-scoring philosophy, emphasizing fourth-down gambles and an overhauled offensive scheme designed to thrive in shootouts.

While the defense will play a role, Washington’s best path to success lies in unleashing their offensive firepower, forcing the Lions to work to protect their lead.

Daniels, who represents a new breed of quarterback, is capable of impacting this game in both conventional and innovative ways.

Besides, momentum is on Washington’s side as they ride a league-best fourth quarter scoring surge.

With 51 points scored in the final quarter over their last four games, the Commanders have proven they can stay competitive until the very end.

Even with Detroit’s offense finding success, Washington’s knack for late-game heroics makes a backdoor cover — or even an outright upset — a possibility.

At +9, the Commanders offer strong value. Whether through a late rally or Daniels once again showcasing his rookie brilliance, Washington has all the tools to keep this matchup close.