The NFL Divisional Round is packed with star power and intriguing matchups, making it the perfect stage for player prop bets.
From Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen battling in a clash of dual-threat quarterbacks, to Austin Ekeler’s versatility shining in the passing game, and rookie sensation Jayden Daniels using his legs to keep his team in the fight, there’s plenty of value to uncover.
Let’s dive into the top player props for this high-stakes weekend.
Click here for Pam's best sides and totals bets for the Divisional Round
Divisional Round Prediction: Josh Allen Over 8.5 rushing attempts
Given Allen’s history, playmaking style, and the high-pressure stakes of this playoff matchup, this looks solid.
Historically, Allen has averaged 5.8 rushing attempts per game against Baltimore, and he ran just 5 times against the Ravens back in Week 4.
Allen has picked up his rushing production to close out each of the last two seasons, averaging 7.9 attempts per game from Week 10 on this year.
This playoff stage only amplifies his propensity to run.
Allen holds the NFL record for postseason rushing yards by a quarterback with 609 yards across 11 games — just 7 more than Lamar Jackson — and he frequently uses his legs to extend drives and make critical plays.
Baltimore’s defense, ranked first in several key passing metrics since Week 11, excels at blanketing receivers and generating pressure with a formidable pass rush.
This defensive strength often forces opposing quarterbacks to scramble, a situation where Allen thrives.
The Bills may also lean into designed quarterback runs to counteract Baltimore’s defensive schemes, leveraging Allen’s mobility to keep the Ravens off balance.
The stakes of a win-or-go-home playoff game further bolster the case for Allen to exceed this rushing threshold.
In high-pressure moments, Allen’s aggressiveness typically increases, as he’s willing to use every tool at his disposal to move the chains.
Add in the forecasted snow, which could complicate passing conditions, and Allen’s ability to make plays with his legs becomes even more crucial.
Divisional Round Prediction: Lamar Jackson Under 224.5 passing yards
The game is set to take place in frigid conditions, with temperatures forecasted at 8–10 degrees at kickoff.
Such extreme cold often hinders passing efficiency and encourages a more conservative, ground-heavy approach, which fits the Ravens’ offensive identity perfectly.
Historically, Jackson has struggled to rack up passing yards against Buffalo, averaging just 117 yards per game in four career matchups. He managed a modest 156 passing yards against Buffalo earlier this season.
The Ravens, anchored by their run game led by Derrick Henry and Jackson’s dual-threat ability, could lean heavily on the ground attack once again as they did in their Week 4 matchup, rushing for 271 yards.
Since that loss, the Bills defense has tightened significantly, particularly against the run, which could create more challenging third-down scenarios and limit overall offensive possessions.
Adding to the case, Jackson has surpassed 220 passing yards in just two of his last eight games, with the under cashing in three of his last four.
With both teams favoring long, run-heavy drives, Jackson is unlikely to see enough passing volume to exceed 224.5 yards. This makes the under a smart and calculated bet.
Divisional Round Prediction: Austin Ekeler Over 24.5 receiving yards
Detroit's run defense has been one of the league’s best, with a 67% success rate against running back runs, making it challenging to generate production on the ground.
This defensive strength points to increased utilization of Ekeler in the passing game, where he has consistently shined.
The Lions’ high-scoring offense, fourth in the NFL, often forces opponents to abandon the run to keep pace.
Detroit’s opponents average league-low backfield runs per game, creating ideal conditions for receiving backs like Ekeler to see additional targets.
On the season, Ekeler has averaged 31 receiving yards per game, comfortably above this line, and his recent form has been steady, with a 10-game average of 27 yards.
Ekeler's involvement in the passing game remains reliable, as evidenced by his 26 receiving yards on three receptions in the Wild Card round.
His consistent target share ensures a solid baseline, and with the Commanders as 9-point underdogs, Ekeler's receiving opportunities should only increase.
Divisional Round Prediction: Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 rushing yards
Daniels has been a force on the ground, averaging 52 rushing yards per game this season and an impressive 74 yards over his last four games.
With 891 rushing yards on the season and the ability to break off explosive runs — highlighted by an 85-yard touchdown at 21.8 mph — Daniels is a constant threat with his legs.
The Lions’ defense has shown vulnerability to mobile quarterbacks, allowing the fourth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season.
The Lions' focus on stopping traditional running plays (4th in rushing yards allowed) could open opportunities for Daniels to exploit gaps.
As 9-point underdogs, the Commanders are likely to lean on Daniels’ dual-threat ability to keep drives alive in a high-pressure game script.
Whether through designed runs or scrambling when the pocket collapses, Daniels has the tools to surpass 49.5 rushing yards.
