Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 15
Cardinals vs. Texans Same Game Parlay:
- Texans -9.5
- Jayden Higgins (Texans) Anytime Touchdown
The Texans defense is the real deal, holding opponents to 14.5 points per game over the past four weeks, which includes games against the Bills and Chiefs.
The Cardinals have lost 10 of their last 11 games, allowing 28.5 points per game over that stretch.
Higgins provides the Texans with a secondary target to Nico Collins and is becoming a larger part of this offense.
He's been targeted on 28.5% of his routes over the past five weeks.
Bills vs. Patriots Same Game Parlay:
- Drake Maye (Patriots) Over 235.5 Passing Yards
- Josh Allen (Bills) Over 227.5 Passing Yards
- Dalton Kincaid (Bills) Over 45.5 Receiving Yards
A battle between the 2024 MVP and the 2025 MVP favorite in the final month of the season, so both game plans should feature the quarterbacks.
The Bills want a balance between run and pass, but Josh Allen is the Bills' competitive advantage.
In the first meeting this season, neither team stepped on the accelerator until the second half, in which both teams scored 17 points.
Allen had 11 pass attempts in the first half of the previous meeting, but in the second half alone passed for 153 yards.
Dalton Kincaid is averaging 14.8 yards per reception this season and has been targeted on 24.8% of his routes.
The Patriots are allowing 6.1 receptions to opposing tight ends per game.
Drake Maye is him.
As mentioned by Tej Seth, the Patriots offense ranks first in EPA by pass depth on short, intermediate, and deep passes (yes, all depths).
Maye went all-world in the second half of the first meeting against the Bills, completing 91.4% of his passes for 184 yards.
Titans vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay:
- Titans/49ers Over 44.5
- Cam Ward (Titans) Over 196.5 Passing Yards
- Chimere Dike (Titans) Over 32.5 Receiving Yards
The Titans are allowing 27.5 points per game, averaging a -12 point differential per game.
Over the past five weeks, the Titans have not faced a defense that has ranked outside the top six.
The 49ers are 31st in pressure rate, providing Cam Ward a reprieve from the gauntlet he's faced over the past month.
The 49ers offense has averaged 29.4 points per game over the past five weeks as the offense has returned several key weapons.
Chimere Dike has run a route on over 80% the Titans' dropbacks in every game over the past six weeks, except for a game he left with an injury.
Dike had 32% of the Titans' targets and air yards last week, and he faces a 49ers defense that is a slot funnel.
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