Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 59 is challenging, so we're here to help.
Here are a few of my favorite props to bet for the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 59 against the Kansas City Chiefs.
I will add more props to this list as we get closer to Super Bowl 59.
Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Chiefs vs. Eagles covered in our Super Bowl 59 Hub.
Super Bowl 59 Eagles Prediction: A.J. Brown Anytime Touchdown +170
Brown has been relatively quiet in the postseason, but he found the endzone against the Commanders in the Conference Championship.
Brown's season was overshadowed by Saquon Barkley and by the fact the Eagles were last in the league in pass attempts, averaging 1.7 fewer than the 31st-ranked Ravens.
In terms of efficiency, Brown dominated.
He finished the season averaging 3.04 yards per route run, only trailing Puka Nacua.
On targets into the end zone, Brown dominated the Eagles with a 40% target rate.
Don’t miss out on our Super Bowl recommendations
As a THANK YOU for following us throughout the season, we wanted to offer you an option to save and get on board for our Super Bowl betting recommendations:
Use coupon code SHARP100 for $100 off our Super Bowl Package.
Hurry! This sale ends soon, AND EVEN SOONER we’ll be releasing written game previews, Super Bowl bets, and props.
This year has been another outstanding time to be a betting client at Sharp Football Analysis, with Warren Sharp‘s betting recommendations running extremely hot all season:
- Final 2024 Profits: $100 Bettors finished up $16,347
- Final 2024 NFL Computer Totals: 26-11 (70%)
- Final 2024 Elevated Props Record: 104-65 (62%)
- Final 2024 NFL Record: 488-368 (57%)
- Final 2024 NCAAF Bowls: 19-6 (76%)
Historically, we’ve been outstanding in the Super Bowl:
- 27-10 (72%) lifetime Super Bowl Sides/Totals record
- 6-2 (75%) on Super Bowl Elevated Plays last 2 years
» Learn more about this offer!
Super Bowl 59 Eagles Prediction: Jalen Hurts MVP +350
No running back has won the Super Bowl MVP in the 21st Century, yet Saquon Barkley has lower odds than the Eagles quarterback.
With 26 straight Super Bowl MVPs not being awarded to a running back, Hurts winning the MVP is a value in my opinion considering the Eagles' moneyline is +100.
Barkley's season is a great story, but the narrative has been overblown.
The Eagles have gained 0.10 EPA on Barkley rushes this season compared to 0.16 on Hurts rushes and 0.15 EPA per Hurts dropback.
The Eagles faced the easiest schedule of opposing defenses in 2024, and their opponents had a 0.453 winning percentage, which was third easiest.
Chiefs opponents averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game, the Eagles will need to lean on Hurts more in the passing game, increasing his chances at Super Bowl MVP.
In his career, Hurts has played 66 games outdoors and 11 games indoors.
He averages 28.3 dropbacks per game outdoors compared to 38.2 dropbacks per game indoors, nearly a 10 dropback increase.
Super Bowl 59 Eagles Prediction: Jalen Hurts Over 20.5 Fantasy Points Scored (-115 DK)
For those not familiar with fantasy scoring, rushing quarterbacks have a distinct advantage in scoring fantasy points as there are multiple pathways to success.
Touchdowns are the biggest difference maker as 4 points are awarded for a passing touchdown and 6 points awarded for a rushing touchdown.
Before Hurts was injured against the Commanders, the Eagles had scored 44 touchdowns in Weeks 1-15, and Hurts was involved in 32 (73%) of those touchdowns.
In his 3 career games against the Chiefs, Hurts has averaged 29.4 fantasy points per game.