Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 60 is a challenge, so we're here to help.
Here are a few of my favorite Patriots props to bet for Super Bowl 60.
Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.
Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Drake Maye 32+ Pass Attempts (+113)
- Longshot: Drake Maye 40+ Pass Attempts (+690)
Game state plays a large role in how the opposition decides to attack.
The Seahawks faced 600 pass attempts, an average of 35.3 pass attempts per game and the fifth most in the league despite ranking fourth in defensive pass success rate and first in DVOA.
The Patriots were tied or trailed at halftime twice all season.
In those two games, Maye had 44 and 37 pass attempts.
The Patriots are 5-point underdogs and face arguably the most difficult opponent of the season, which could push the Patriots to lean on Maye.
In the regular season, seven quarterbacks attempted more than 40 passes against the Seahawks, providing value to this longshot.
Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Stevenson has run a route on 56.9% of dropbacks in the postseason, up more than 5% from his regular season average.
Seahawks opponents targeted running backs on 21.2% of passes, the only team with a target rate over 20%, leading to a league high 7.5 running back targets per game against.
Including the playoffs, opposing running backs have been targeted 4 or more times in 18 of 19 games against the Seahawks.
Stevenson has dramatic splits depending on the defensive formation.
When the middle of the field is closed post-snap, Stevenson averages 0.77 yards per route.
That increases to 1.98 yards per route against the post-snap middle of the field open.
The Seahawks ranked third in the rate of 2-high coverages this season, giving Stevenson a small bump in this matchup.
Super Bowl 60 Patriots Prediction: Austin Hooper Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Hooper has played a limited role in the three playoff games for the Patriots, running a route on just 27.5% of the dropbacks.
The Patriots offense has leaned on using diverse personnel packages, lining up in 11 personnel on only 50.1% of snaps.
The Patriots have used 21 personnel at the fourth-highest rate in the league.
However, the Seahawks defense ranks first in EPA per play against 21 personnel, and the Patriots are more successful with three wide receivers or two tight ends on the field.
Hooper has been on the field for 92.3% of the passing plays in the playoffs when the Patriots line up with two tight ends on the field in either 12 or 22 personnel.
This is important because the Seahawks have been less dominant against multiple tight end sets this season.
Hooper’s on-field rate could increase as a result, and he averaged 12.5 yards per reception this season.
Ideally, Hooper only needs 1 reception to go over the total.
However, in the seven regular season games this season he had with 2 receptions or more, he cleared this receiving total in every game.
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