Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 60 is a challenge, so we're here to help.
Here are a few of my favorite longshot props to bet for Super Bowl 60.
Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Patriots vs. Seahawks covered in our Super Bowl 60 Hub.
Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: Sam Darnold & Drake Maye Pass Completions & Pass Attempts
- Sam Darnold 24+ Completions & Drake Maye 24+ Completions (+1200)
- Sam Darnold 32+ Pass Attempts & Drake Maye 32+ Pass Attempts (+600)
The quarterback longshots are based on the fact that both teams have incredible run defenses.
Also, both offenses are elite when throwing the ball and less successful when running the ball.
Including the playoffs, this matchup features the top two passing offenses in the league in terms of success rate.
The Seahawks rank first with a 53.4% dropback success rate, and the Patriots are second with a 52.6% success rate.
Rushing success rate is a different story, with both teams ranking in the bottom 10 in terms of rushing success rate.
Sam Darnold and Drake Maye trailed only Brock Purdy amongst all NFL quarterbacks in success rate in 2025.
Although Darnold is prone to catastrophic mistakes, the Seahawks’ passing offense was efficient on a down-to-down basis.
Including playoffs, the Seahawks' rush defense has allowed a league-low 36% success rate this year.
The Patriots offense has struggled to run consistently, and the Seahawks defense has been dominant against the run consistently, increasing the possibility that the Patriots pass more than expected.
The same is true for the Seahawks offense against the Patriots defense.
The Patriots season long stats do not reflect the true ability of the defense, as the defense has drastically different stats with and without Milton Williams on the field.
Opponents have had a 31.6% rushing success rate in three playoff games against the Patriots, who have held opponents to 3.1 yards per rush in the playoffs.
The Patriots trailed at halftime just once all season, and they were tied at halftime one other time.
Maye had 28 and 31 completions in those two games.
Neither of these two teams lost a game by more than 7 points all season, which would help both quarterbacks remain aggressive.
Darnold’s season high in completions came in two losses against the Rams and Buccaneers, but like the Patriots, the Seahawks were successful in building early leads.
The Seahawks and Patriots ranked first and second in first-half point margin.
They were the only teams with a +100 or better first-half point differential.
A competitive game state would be favorable for a quarterback longshot parlay.
Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: A.J. Barner & Hunter Henry Touchdown Props
- A.J. Barner & Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+900)
- A.J. Barner First Touchdown Scorer & Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+3800)
The Patriots and Seahawks defenses have not allowed a rushing touchdown in the playoffs.
They have allowed 5 combined passing touchdowns.
With Milton Williams on the field this season, 81.3% of the touchdowns against the Patriots have been passing touchdowns.
A.J. Barner is the short-yardage specialist with a 90% success rate on 10 rush attempts this season.
The tight end could score a touchdown on a tush push from the one-yard line.
Barner’s 6 receiving touchdowns and 5 end zone targets are second amongst all Seahawks receivers this season, and he has run a route on 76.3% of Sam Darnold’s dropbacks in the playoffs.
Hunter Henry led the Patriots with 7 receiving touchdowns and was tied for the team lead with 8 end zone targets this season.
The Seahawks allowed a 73% completion rate on tight end targets this season.
From Week 8 on, no non-Ram wide receiver had more than 50 receiving yards in a game against the Seahawks.
As a result, Seahawks opponents increase target rates to tight ends and running backs, targeting tight ends 24% of the time against Seattle.
The Seahawks allowed 9 rushing touchdowns this season, the second fewest in the league.
68.9% offensive touchdowns were scored through the air against the Seahawks.
As 5-point underdogs, if the Patriots fall behind early, Drake Maye could be forced to challenge the Seahawks through the air.
Super Bowl 60 Longshot Prediction: DeMario Douglas Anytime Touchdown +550
The Seahawks defense allowed 8 passing touchdowns in three games against MVP co-favorite Matthew Stafford.
The Rams finished the season with the second-best EPA per dropback, only trailing Drake Maye and the New England Patriots.
If the Patriots have success against the Seahawks, it will likely have to be through Maye.
Training camp standout DeMario Douglas ran a route on a career-low 36.3% of dropbacks this season.
Despite the low snap rate, Douglas tied his career-high with 3 receiving touchdowns and was third on the roster in red zone targets as a result of a 25.9% target rate in the red zone.
In the playoffs, Douglas has been on the field for 70% Maye’s dropbacks in the red zone compared to 40% of the dropbacks outside the redzone.
If the Patriots are trailing, a long-shot dart throw on Douglas to score a touchdown is in the range of outcomes.
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