Puka Nacua has made noise on and off the field this week, but he led all pass catchers in yards for the second consecutive week and followed it up on Thursday Night Football with 225 more receiving yards.
The article hit on Nacua at +900 last week by following the underlying usage in a game set up for passing success.
Nacua was targeted on 42% of his routes on Sunday and had his second consecutive 11-target game en route to 181 receiving yards.
The opening week of bestball playoffs had 10 pass catchers reach 100 receiving yards, including eight wide receivers and two tight ends.
All 10 of the receivers had at least 6 receptions, proving that volume matters for pass catchers.
Ancillary wide receivers have struggled this year as tight end usage continues to trend upwards, and Week 15 was no exception.
Tight ends had 24.5% target share.
This league-wide trend has consequences to consider in the offseason in best ball structure and drafting, as well as props for secondary receivers.
There is a lot of variance chasing most receiving yards since there are more players who can potentially lead each week, so chasing volume in condensed target trees is critical.
NFL Weekly Receiving Leaders, 2025:
| Week | Wide Receiver | Receiving Yards | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zay Flowers | 140 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2 | Malik Nabers | 167 | Dallas Cowboys |
| 3 | Tre Tucker | 145 | Washington Commanders |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | 170 | Indianapolis Colts |
| 5 | Emeka Egbuka | 163 | Seattle Seahawks |
| 6 | George Pickens | 168 | Carolina Panthers |
| 7 | Devonta Smith | 183 | Minnesota Vikings |
| 8 | Tucker Kraft | 143 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 9 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 129 | Washington Commanders |
| 10 | Nico Collins | 136 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 11 | Michael Wilson | 185 | San Francisco 49ers |
| 12 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 167 | Tennessee Titans |
| 13 | Jameson Williams | 144 | Green Bay Packers |
| 14 | Puka Nacua | 167 | Arizona Cardinals |
| 15 | Puka Nacua | 181 | Detroit Lions |
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Most Week 16 Receiving Yards Prediction (Sunday): Ja’Marr Chase (+850)
Vibes are rough in Cincinnati, but the Bengals have a solid matchup this week against the Dolphins, and Sharp Football’s Ryan McCrystal believes Quinn Ewers can function in the Dolphins offense.
The Dolphins are bottom 10 in pressure rate and dead last in allowing a 70% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks.
This game could go back and forth, setting up an opportunity for Joe Burrow to close out the season with some positivity.
Tee Higgins will likely return, which is actually good news for the Chase, as his spike games this season have occurred with Higgins on the field.
This is a bit of narrative-based selection as Chase has been tied to Burrow for his college and pro career and is the most likely to help Burrow find the rainbow, so to speak.
This game is not important for the standings this year since both teams are eliminated from contention, but both teams have reason to find some offensive answers and build some positive thoughts heading into the offseason.
Week 16 Receiving Yards Longshot Bet: Courtland Sutton Ladders
- Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
- 80+ Receiving Yards (+215)
- 100+ Receiving Yards (+470)
- Anytime TD Scorer (+155)
- 2+ Touchdowns (+1100)
Sutton has 49.5% of the Broncos' air yards over the past two weeks and 29.4% of the targets.
He faces a pass-funnel Jaguars defense that struggles against outside wide receivers.
Sutton is on pace for his second consecutive 1,000-yard season and is trending in a positive direction with four consecutive games of 59 or more yards.
The Jaguars are elite against intermediate passes, which provides a road map for checkdowns and deep passes.
That favors Sutton as a deep target.
Both Sutton and Troy Franklin have been the Broncos' target earners on passes of 15 or more air yards, but Sutton has caught 51.5% of these targets compared to Franklin, who has caught 29.5% of deeper targets.
The Jaguars-Broncos matchup could be a higher passing volume game, which makes Sutton a solid option for receiving ladders.
