- The 49ers have exceeded their team total in their last seven regular season games vs the Rams, dating back to Week 6 of 2019, with an average of 28 points per game.
- The 49ers held the Steelers run game to -0.17 yards before contact per rush. That means, on average, they were in the backfield making contact before the RB even got to the line of scrimmage.
Warren Sharp’s game previews are unlike anything you’ll find anywhere in the industry, and this year he will be sharing his write-ups along with betting picks on Sharp Football Analysis.
Warren’s betting recommendations have seen sustained success, exceeding 58% wins across over 2,700 betting recommendations in his 17 years.
He has won 62.3% of NFL totals releases from 2006 through 2022 from his model, including exceeding a 70% win rate each of the last three seasons:
- 37-15 record (71%) in 2022
- 23-5 (82%) in 2021
- 28-9 (76%) in 2020
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Week 2 Betting Preview:
Over Brock Purdy’s eight full games as a starter, the 49ers have now averaged 32.3 points per game, scoring 30 or more points in six of those games
Under Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers are 9-4 against the Rams (10-3 ATS) with eight consecutive regular season wins
The 49ers have exceeded their team total in their last seven regular season games vs the Rams, dating back to Week 6 of 2019, with an average of 28 points per game, and those were games vs a much stronger Rams defense and a Rams offense that was more efficient, thus held the ball longer and gave the 49ers worse starting field position.
I think the Rams defensive performance in Week 1 vs the Seahawks was a total mirage.
Seattle’s first four drives all traveled deeper than the Rams 24 yard line, and all of them provided scoring opportunities.
Their final five drives all resulted in punts or end of game scenarios with no more than 10 yards on any drive and they never got past their own 35-yard line.
What happened? Well, they lost both starting tackles. Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas both went down with injuries.
With both in the lineup, Seattle’s offense ranked #3 in success rate including #1 in passing success rate and was top-10 in literally every different type of offensive efficiency metric.
With both out of the lineup, Seattle’s offense was by far the worst in the NFL.
And while we think Seattle’s offense is fine, one thing we know is the Seahawks struggled to run the ball last year.
Though they were explosive at times with Kenneth Walker III, they were not efficient nor consistent.
Seattle ranked #18 in EPA/rush last year, including a horrible #29 in success rate last season.