The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 3 San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Sunday Night Football game.
| San Francisco | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | Spread | 1 | ||
| 23.25 | Implied Total | 22.25 | ||
| 18.5 | 19 | Points/Gm | 16 | 24 |
| 13 | 3 | Points All./Gm | 13 | 3 |
| 68.5 | 9 | Plays/Gm | 64.5 | 10 |
| 51.5 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 54 | 3 |
| 5.1 | 22 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.1 | 7 |
| 4.1 | 2 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5 |
| 59.85% | 2 | Rush% | 39.53% | 17 |
| 40.15% | 31 | Pass% | 60.47% | 16 |
| 49.51% | 28 | Opp. Rush % | 34.26% | 8 |
| 50.49% | 5 | Opp. Pass % | 65.74% | 25 |
- Denver has 296 more total yards than their opponent through two weeks, the second largest differential in the league.
- San Francisco is third with 284 more yards than allowed.
- Just 2-of-21 (9.5%) of the San Francisco possessions have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- Denver has opened the season converting 0-of-6 red zone possessions for touchdowns. The only other team yet to convert a red zone possession for a touchdown is Seattle.
- The Broncos have had five goal-to-go possessions, tied for third in the league through two weeks.
Quarterback
Russell Wilson: Wilson has gotten out of the blocks with QB14 (17.8 points) and QB24 (11.1 points) scoring weeks against good-looking matchups versus Seattle and Houston. Sunday against the Texans, Wilson completed just 45.2% of his passes while his expected completion rate of 62.6% was 28th in the league.
Wilson is still doing the Wilson thing, which is not making enough high-percentage throws. Through two weeks, Wilson has thrown just 27.3% of his passes between the numbers, the lowest rate in the league. 16.4% of his passes have also been 20 or more yards downfield, which ranks sixth.
Now, Wilson faces a tougher 49er defense while potentially being without another playmaker in Jerry Jeudy, who is day to day with a shoulder injury.
The 49ers have faced only Justin Fields and Geno Smith, so apply the necessary grains of salt here, but they have allowed just 16.7 passing points through two weeks, which is third in the league. They were 10th in passing points allowed in 2021.
Wilson has plenty of familiarity with the 49ers, but last season only threw for 6.3 yards per pass attempt against San Francisco, although he did throw multiple touchdowns in both games.
With Wilson failing to deliver in better setups to open the year, it is hard to handle him as more than a fringe QB1 option.
