The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Wild Card Round matchup between the Eagles and 49ers.

Find a breakdown of every Wild Card Round NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

San FranciscoRank@PhiladelphiaRank
3.5 Spread-3.5
21.5 Implied Total25.0
25.710Points/Gm22.319
21.813Points All./Gm19.15
63.69Plays/Gm59.423
60.513Opp. Plays/Gm63.526
5.511Off. Yards/Play5.219
5.624Def. Yards/Play4.97
44.45%15Rush%47.33%6
55.55%18Pass%52.67%27
41.25%10Opp. Rush %45.74%23
58.75%23Opp. Pass %54.26%10

  • Eagles ATS: 10-7
  • 49ers ATS: 10-6-1
  • Eagles ATS Home: 4-4
  • 49ers ATS Away: 7-2
  • Eagles ATS as Favorite: 8-7
  • 49ers ATS as Underdog: 2-4

Game Overview

The Eagles are in the postseason for the fifth season in a row under Nick Sirianni.

They were the only division winner from 2024 to repeat this season.

Things did not go smoothly, however, especially on offense under first-time play caller Kevin Patullo.

The Eagles finished 19th in scoring, the first time they were outside the top 12 since 2020.

They ranked 24th in yardage gained after ranking 8th, 8th, 3rd, and 14th in Sirianni’s first four seasons with the team.

Early downs were a problem for the Eagles this season.

Philadelphia averaged 5.1 yards per play on first and second downs, which was 23rd in the league.

As a result, they faced third down on 48.1% of their sets of downs, which was 20th in the league.

They converted only 37.1% of those third downs, which ranked 24th.

Only Carolina had a lower third-down conversion rate (36.1%) among 2025 playoff teams.

The Eagles were able to overcome an offensively down year by protecting the football and having another stellar season on defense.

Although this offense was inconsistent and lacked an identity, they rarely beat themselves.

Philadelphia turned the ball over on 7.3% of their possessions, the third-lowest rate in the league.

They allowed 33 points off turnovers, also third.

Defensively, they allowed 1.79 points per drive, which was eighth.

They got better as the season went on, ranking second in points allowed per drive over the final 11 weeks of the year (1.54).

Over that span, they only allowed 4.7 yards per play (6th).

After winning only six games in 2024, San Francisco bounced back with a 12-5 record this season.

That was an achievement considering this was another injury-filled campaign for the 49ers.

Brock Purdy only played in nine games.

George Kittle (six), Ricky Pearsall (eight), and Jauan Jennings (two) all missed multiple games, while Brandon Aiyuk never showed up.

Despite that, San Francisco was third in success rate on offense (46.3%) and sixth in points per drive (2.53).

And this was while the 49ers were 24th in rushing offense, the worst ranking a Kyle Shanahan-coached team has had since 2011 when he was in Washington.

31.4% of San Francisco’s passing plays gained 10 or more yards, third in the league behind New England (32.9%) and Seattle (32.5%).

While the 49ers were able to weather a storm of offensive injuries, the same cannot be said on defense.

Nick Bosa only appeared in three games.

Fred Warner played in only six games (his backup, Tatum Bethune, will also miss this game).

First-round pick Mykel Williams was lost for the year after nine games.

San Francisco ended up with a 54.8% success rate on defense, 29th in the league.

The only team in the postseason with a lower rate was Chicago (54.3%).

After losing Warner, San Francisco allowed a touchdown on 26.9% of opponent drives, which was 25th in the league over that span and the highest rate of any playoff team.

They forced a takeaway on only 8.7% of opponent possessions over the final 11 weeks, which was 24th and the lowest rate of any playoff defense.

Quarterback

Jalen Hurts: For as uneven as this offense was during the regular season, Hurts did end up throwing a career-high 25 touchdowns while matching the lowest interception rate (1.3%) of his career.

It's not as if Hurts was bad. Most of the issues stem from a lack of consistency.

This offense will look suitable for stretches via the amount of talent they still have, but then go dormant for periods.

The Eagles have two wins this season in which Hurts did not even complete a pass in the second half of the game.

Hurts ended up with a 42.5% success rate, his lowest as a starter.

This scheme has taken a lot of flak for the lack of creativity this season.

Hurts had the lowest screen target rate of his career (5.3%), which was 28th in the league.

18.1% of his throws were hitch routes, the second-highest rate of his career and fifth in the league (the highest rate of any remaining passer).

The Eagles used him less as a runner.

He did rush for 8 touchdowns, but it was his first season below double-digits as a starter.

Hurts averaged 3.3 designed runs per game, easily his lowest as a starter.

From 2021 to 2024, Hurts averaged 5.2, 6.7, 5.8, and 6.0 designed runs per game.

He scrambled on a career-low 7.6% of his dropbacks.

For fantasy purposes, he averaged 18.7 points per game, his first time being below 20 points per game as a starter.

That was still good for QB7, but the spike weeks were lacking.

Hurts had only three top-six scoring weeks over the season.

While we did not have many of those spike weeks, this is as good a draw as this offense could have hoped for to open the postseason.

The Eagles should be able to find enough success here.

The 49ers are 30th in the league in pressure rate (30.4%) and last in sack rate (3.3%).

Over the final 12 games of the season, San Francisco allowed a 68.6% completion rate (30th), 7.3 yards per pass attempt (20th), and a 5.1% touchdown rate (21st).

It may not have always been pretty, but Hurts delivered over 15 passing points in soft matchups to close the season against Washington (15.4), Las Vegas (19.0), Chicago (15.2), Dallas (15.6), and the Giants (23.2) before considering any rushing output he may provide.

Brock Purdy: Since returning to the lineup in Week 11, Purdy has completed 70.6% of his passes (2nd) for 7.5 yards per pass attempt (8th) and a 7.6% touchdown rate (2nd).

A league-high 46.4% of his passes have resulted in a first down or touchdown over that stretch.

The league rate over that period was 34.2%.

The 49ers either need this game to be ugly, with Philadelphia not capitalizing on opportunities (like Seattle almost did on Saturday night), or Purdy to carry this offense through another shootout.

The 49ers have had to win several high-scoring games.

In their final three wins of the season, they allowed 38, 27, and 24 points.

The first outcome is more probable.

Since Purdy returned, he has had a 50% or higher success rate on passes against Arizona (55.6%), Tennessee (65.6%), Indianapolis (60%), and Chicago (58.8%).

But against Carolina (43.8%), Cleveland (40%), and Seattle (33.3%), this offense found resistance through the air.

Philadelphia is more in line with Seattle's caliber of pass defense.

The Eagles were fourth in passing points allowed (10.4 per game), allowing a league-low 56.6% completion rate, 6.4 yards per pass attempt (6th), and the lowest touchdown rate in the league (2.5%).

No quarterback threw more than 2 touchdowns against the Eagles this season, while only three passed for multiple touchdowns.

If there is a sneaky outlet for Purdy adding some points, it could come via his legs.

Purdy has rushed for 44, 11, 28, and 21 yards over his past four games.

The Eagles have allowed 22.2 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, 28th in the league.

Purdy has yet to face a Vic Fangio-led defense.

Shanahan has not faced a Fangio-led defense since 2018, when Fangio was with the Bears, so it has been a while since these two excellent play callers have battled it out.

Shanahan is 1-3 against Fangio-led units over his career, with his offenses scoring 11, 6, 15, and 9 points.

Purdy is the best quarterback he has had in these matchups. John Beck, Robert Griffin, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Nick Mullens were the starters for Shanahan in those games.

Running Back

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More Wild Card Round Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:

MatchupTime
Rams @ PanthersSaturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET
Packers @ BearsSaturday -- 8:00 p.m. ET
Bills @ JaguarsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
49ers @ EaglesSunday -- 4:30 p.m. ET
Chargers @ PatriotsSunday Night Football
Texans @ SteelersMonday Night Football