The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams Sunday afternoon game.
| San Francisco | Rank | @ | LA Rams | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spread | -7 | ||
| 19.75 | Implied Total | 26.75 | ||
| 23.8 | 18 | Points/Gm | 24.3 | 17 |
| 23.4 | 11 | Points All./Gm | 19.2 | 2 |
| 64 | 19 | Plays/Gm | 68.5 | 5 |
| 60.3 | 4 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.5 | 9 |
| 41.6% | 14 | Rush% | 43.8% | 12 |
| 58.4% | 19 | Pass% | 56.2% | 21 |
| 44.9% | 25 | Opp. Rush % | 37.1% | 4 |
| 55.1% | 8 | Opp. Pass % | 62.9% | 29 |
- Los Angeles is second in points allowed per drive (1.51) behind the Steelers (1.50).
- The 49ers wide receivers are first in the league in percentage of yardage to come after the catch (53.6%) while the Rams are fourth (48.7%).
- The Rams are allowing the lowest completion rate on passes over 15 yards downfield at 23.6%. League average is 44.2%.
- The Rams are the only team in the league that have yet to allow a touchdown pass on those pass attempts while every other defense has allowed three or more.
- San Francisco is 31st in the league in fantasy points allowed per attempt on those downfield pass attempt (1.19 points).
- The Rams are averaging 105.4 more total yards than their opponents per game, the largest differential in the league. The next closest team (the Colts) is at 75.3 more per game.
- After rushing for 137.7 yards per game over their opening seven games, the 49ers have rushed for 52, 55, and 49 yards in their past three games.
Quarterback
Jared Goff: Goff has thrown for 300 yards in three straight games, completing 75% of his passes for 7.7 Y/A the past two weeks. His 39 completions on Monday night were the second-most in his career as it was his first QB1 scoring week since Week 5.
On a short week, the Rams get a San Francisco defense off a bye that has given Goff some trouble of late, holding him below a 60% completion rate in four consecutive games and 7.0 Y/A in the past three. This San Francisco defense is not what it was a year ago or even to start this season, but they have been at their worst against teams that press the ball downfield and solid versus shallow to intermediate passing teams, but Goff is still a floor-based QB2 option.
Nick Mullens: Mullens has been the QB16, QB29, QB24, and QB20 in his four starts this season and is going up against a Rams defense that is allowing the fewest passing points per game (11.2) while ranking first in yards per pass attempt (6.1 Y/A) and yards allowed per completion (9.7 yards). Mullens is a low option even in 2QB formats.
Running Back
Raheem Mostert: Mostert has only appeared in four games this season and gotten through only two games without exiting early. When he has played, he has turned in 151, 107, 119, and 76 yards. The last of which came against the Rams, who are allowing 3.9 YPC to backs, eighth in the league. In that game Mostert ran 17 times for 65 yards, while tacking on two catches for 11 yards. Returning to the lineup, Mostert is on a less explosive offense than the one he left behind, but is still an upside-based RB2 option in a tougher matchup.
Rams RBs: The Rams backfield situation continues to be crowded as each of Malcolm Brown, Cam Akers, and Darrell Henderson have led the team in touches over their past three games with no individual back receiving more than 12 touches in any of those games. Henderson and Brown are still the top two backs in terms of consistent snaps, but Akers has gotten involved just enough with 10 and six touches the past two weeks to throw a wrench into things.
The team has also shown they are willing to use all three backs near the end zone with Akers getting some burn there on Monday night. No Rams back is above RB3/FLEX status, with Henderson, Brown, and Akers the order I would rank them if you need to chase.
Wide Receiver
Robert Woods: Woods hit for a big way on Monday, catching 12-of-15 targets for 130 yards and a touchdown. It was the first time since Week 1 that he hit 100 yards and just the second time that he received more than eight targets in a game this season. Woods has stayed steady in the scoring department, reaching the end zone seven times already, including Week 6 when these teams played and Woods caught 4-of-10 targets for 29 yards and a touchdown. Continue to use Woods as a WR2/WR3 option.
Cooper Kupp: Kupp also splashed on Monday as the Rams are way more fun when they are a pass-heavy offense. Kupp caught 11-of-13 targets for 145 yards against Tampa Bay one week after he battled through a wrist injury and was limited. Kupp has not scored a touchdown since Week 4, but has secured at least five receptions in eight of his past nine games. In four career games against San Francisco, Kupp has found tough sledding, turning in games of 2-17-0, 4-17-0, 4-31-1, and 3-11-0. Despite the tough history, Kupp is still a floor-based WR3 option in PPR formats with hopes that the Rams continue to scale up the passing game to close the season.
Deebo Samuel: Samuel is expected back this week after missing the past three games with a hamstring injury. In four games this season, Samuel has had games of 3-35-0, 2-19-0, 6-66-1, and 5-65-0 with six carries for 14 yards. Samuel’s best game came against the Rams in Week 6 when not one reception was thrown beyond the line of scrimmage as Samuel turned 96 yards after the catch into 66 receiving yards. That is one way to beat the league’s best pass defense. Samuel is a WR4/FLEX in his return to the lineup.
Josh Reynolds: With both Woods and Kupp firing on all cylinders Monday, Reynolds took a back seat (3-32-0) after four weeks as a WR4 or better. Reynolds still ran a pass route 94.2% of the dropbacks, so he did not shed any playing time. Where Reynolds runs his routes is where the 49ers have been their worst, leading the team in targets over 15 yards downfield (20), including catching one for a 40-yard touchdown against San Francisco in Week 6. Reynolds is still just a WR4/FLEX dependent on a full week, but fits the profile of where the 49ers have struggled to defend wideouts.
Tight End
Jordan Reed: Prior to the bye, Reed ran a pass route on 52.4% of the team dropbacks, catching 5-of-6 targets for 62 yards against New Orleans. Reed has run a pass route on 50% of the team dropbacks in two games this season, posting that line in Week 10 and 7-50-2 on eight targets in Week 2. The Rams are allowing 5.9 yards per target to tight ends (third), but Reed is an intriguing pick up and streaming play with upside should he remain on the field to close the season.
Gerald Everett: Everett gets a bump this week with Tyler Higbee looking doubtful to play, although he is officially listed as a game-time decision. When Higbee missed Week 7, Everett played a season-high 76% of the offensive snaps, catching 4-of-5 targets for 28 yards and a touchdown. Everett is still more of a TE2 option, but can now be used as a streamer for those looking to fill a hole in Week 12.
More Week 12 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:
HOU at DET| WFT at DAL | BAL at PIT | ARI at NE | LAC at BUF | MIA at NYJ | CAR at MIN | NYG at CIN | LVR at ATL | CLE at JAX | TEN at IND | SF at LAR | NO at DEN | KC at TB | CHI at GB | SEA at PHI
